SMCI Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 40 trades in period
-35.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$1,817.77
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$2,830.86
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,840
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$2,830.86
Current Value
$1,817.77
Period P&L
$-1,013.14
Max Drawdown
-88.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
11 /
29
Best Trade
+5.93%
Worst Trade
-7.46%
Avg Trade Return
-1.00%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$192,322.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,013.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,013.14
Gross Return
-35.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-35.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $2,830.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 3:40pm ET | $45.71 | 61 | $2,788.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 11:40am ET | $44.20 | 61 | $2,696.20 | $2,710.16 |
$-91.80 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 12:55pm ET | $46.05 | 58 | $2,670.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $44.59 | 58 | $2,586.32 | $2,625.83 |
$-84.33 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $41.81 | 62 | $2,592.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 1:05pm ET | $43.98 | 62 | $2,726.76 | $2,760.37 |
+$134.54 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 3:15pm ET | $44.41 | 62 | $2,753.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.18 | 62 | $2,615.16 | $2,622.40 |
$-137.97 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.98 | 65 | $2,598.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 12:00pm ET | $42.17 | 65 | $2,741.05 | $2,764.75 |
+$142.35 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 12:15pm ET | $44.49 | 62 | $2,758.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 12:15pm ET | $46.85 | 62 | $2,904.39 | $2,910.76 |
+$146.01 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 1:40pm ET | $46.09 | 63 | $2,903.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $44.51 | 63 | $2,804.35 | $2,811.75 |
$-99.00 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 9:45am ET | $45.44 | 61 | $2,771.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:55am ET | $48.04 | 61 | $2,930.44 | $2,970.66 |
+$158.91 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:30pm ET | $51.87 | 57 | $2,956.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $54.85 | 57 | $3,126.45 | $3,140.52 |
+$169.86 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $55.69 | 56 | $3,118.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 11:40am ET | $53.99 | 56 | $3,023.64 | $3,045.51 |
$-95.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 1:25pm ET | $57.17 | 53 | $3,029.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $54.94 | 53 | $2,911.82 | $2,927.35 |
$-118.16 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.12 | 54 | $2,922.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $52.37 | 54 | $2,827.93 | $2,832.54 |
$-94.81 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $55.06 | 51 | $2,808.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $53.03 | 51 | $2,704.53 | $2,729.01 |
$-103.53 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 10:10am ET | $49.30 | 55 | $2,711.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:15pm ET | $47.76 | 55 | $2,626.90 | $2,644.41 |
$-84.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 3:15pm ET | $48.76 | 54 | $2,633.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:55am ET | $51.38 | 54 | $2,774.33 | $2,785.70 |
+$141.29 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 1:40pm ET | $53.22 | 52 | $2,767.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.41 | 52 | $2,673.32 | $2,691.58 |
$-94.12 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:50am ET | $51.76 | 52 | $2,691.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.90 | 52 | $2,490.80 | $2,490.86 |
$-200.72 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.29 | 54 | $2,445.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $43.85 | 54 | $2,367.90 | $2,413.10 |
$-77.76 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $42.36 | 56 | $2,372.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET | $41.01 | 56 | $2,296.28 | $2,337.22 |
$-75.88 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:50am ET | $40.55 | 57 | $2,311.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $39.17 | 57 | $2,232.41 | $2,258.27 |
$-78.94 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $38.52 | 58 | $2,234.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.14 | 58 | $2,154.12 | $2,178.23 |
$-80.04 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.12 | 63 | $2,149.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $35.92 | 63 | $2,262.96 | $2,291.63 |
+$113.40 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
54m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $34.57 | 66 | $2,281.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $33.43 | 66 | $2,206.38 | $2,216.40 |
$-75.23 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET | $32.30 | 68 | $2,196.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $31.12 | 68 | $2,116.16 | $2,136.16 |
$-80.24 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $32.03 | 66 | $2,113.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET | $33.84 | 66 | $2,233.44 | $2,255.62 |
+$119.46 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $33.57 | 67 | $2,248.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET | $35.33 | 67 | $2,366.78 | $2,373.54 |
+$117.92 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 2:00pm ET | $34.68 | 68 | $2,357.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $33.38 | 68 | $2,269.50 | $2,285.14 |
$-88.40 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $33.20 | 68 | $2,257.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $32.05 | 68 | $2,179.40 | $2,206.94 |
$-78.20 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 11:40am ET | $31.23 | 70 | $2,186.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $30.27 | 70 | $2,118.90 | $2,139.74 |
$-67.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:55am ET | $30.08 | 71 | $2,135.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 12:45pm ET | $29.15 | 71 | $2,069.65 | $2,073.71 |
$-66.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $30.89 | 67 | $2,069.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $29.94 | 67 | $2,005.98 | $2,010.40 |
$-63.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $29.85 | 67 | $1,999.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $28.81 | 67 | $1,930.27 | $1,941.05 |
$-69.35 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $28.20 | 68 | $1,917.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $29.65 | 68 | $2,016.20 | $2,039.82 |
+$98.77 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.52 | 66 | $2,014.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $32.33 | 66 | $2,133.77 | $2,159.28 |
+$119.45 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $32.93 | 65 | $2,140.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $31.90 | 65 | $2,073.18 | $2,092.33 |
$-66.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:40pm ET | $30.98 | 67 | $2,075.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $30.02 | 67 | $2,011.34 | $2,028.01 |
$-64.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $31.55 | 64 | $2,018.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.48 | 64 | $1,950.72 | $1,959.85 |
$-68.16 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $29.66 | 66 | $1,957.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $28.73 | 66 | $1,895.85 | $1,898.14 |
$-61.71 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $31.68 | 59 | $1,869.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $30.61 | 59 | $1,806.01 | $1,835.03 |
$-63.11 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $33.79 | 54 | $1,824.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $33.47 | 54 | $1,807.65 | $1,817.77 |
$-17.25 (-0.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$1,817.77
Net Profit/Loss:
$-8,182.23
Total Return:
-81.82%