SNOW Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 41 trades in period
-8.60%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,189.16
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$16,617.93
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
24.6/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 23.9
30-Day Momentum
2
-15.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$16,617.93
Current Value
$15,189.16
Period P&L
$-1,428.74
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
13 /
28
Best Trade
+32.40%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,326,991.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,428.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,428.74
Gross Return
-8.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,617.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $160.40 | 103 | $16,521.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $155.52 | 103 | $16,018.06 | $16,114.76 |
$-503.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $156.78 | 102 | $15,991.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.86 | 102 | $14,877.72 | $15,000.92 |
$-1,113.84 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $154.18 | 97 | $14,955.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.01 | 97 | $14,453.97 | $14,499.43 |
$-501.49 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.51 | 96 | $14,449.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $145.88 | 96 | $14,004.48 | $14,054.47 |
$-444.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $153.27 | 91 | $13,947.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $145.38 | 91 | $13,229.58 | $13,336.48 |
$-717.99 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.74 | 103 | $13,259.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.86 | 103 | $12,860.58 | $12,937.36 |
$-399.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $131.52 | 98 | $12,888.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.01 | 98 | $13,623.47 | $13,671.87 |
+$734.51 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $145.44 | 94 | $13,671.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.13 | 94 | $14,394.69 | $14,395.20 |
+$723.33 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.93 | 97 | $14,252.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $142.52 | 97 | $13,824.44 | $13,967.43 |
$-427.77 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $144.66 | 96 | $13,887.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.11 | 96 | $13,450.56 | $13,530.63 |
$-436.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.16 | 97 | $13,498.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $134.49 | 97 | $13,045.53 | $13,077.64 |
$-452.99 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $139.51 | 93 | $12,973.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $147.47 | 93 | $13,714.71 | $13,818.38 |
+$740.74 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $141.87 | 97 | $13,761.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $137.52 | 97 | $13,339.92 | $13,396.91 |
$-421.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $152.74 | 87 | $13,288.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.13 | 87 | $12,800.31 | $12,908.41 |
$-488.50 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $150.96 | 85 | $12,832.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $158.69 | 85 | $13,488.65 | $13,565.04 |
+$656.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $162.98 | 83 | $13,526.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.80 | 83 | $14,259.40 | $14,297.51 |
+$732.47 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $166.59 | 85 | $14,160.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.00 | 85 | $15,130.00 | $15,267.36 |
+$969.85 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.90 | 86 | $15,127.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.90 | 86 | $20,029.40 | $20,168.93 |
+$4,901.57 (+32.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:40am ET | $249.40 | 80 | $19,952.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $264.00 | 80 | $21,120.00 | $21,336.93 |
+$1,168.00 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $265.68 | 80 | $21,254.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $256.13 | 80 | $20,490.40 | $20,572.93 |
$-764.00 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $248.78 | 82 | $20,399.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $240.04 | 82 | $19,683.28 | $19,856.25 |
$-716.68 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $241.32 | 82 | $19,787.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $232.79 | 82 | $19,088.37 | $19,156.79 |
$-699.46 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $242.33 | 79 | $19,144.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $235.02 | 79 | $18,566.58 | $18,579.30 |
$-577.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $236.85 | 78 | $18,474.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $222.92 | 78 | $17,387.76 | $17,492.76 |
$-1,086.54 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $232.50 | 75 | $17,437.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $223.29 | 75 | $16,746.38 | $16,801.64 |
$-691.12 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $231.38 | 72 | $16,659.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.79 | 72 | $16,040.52 | $16,182.44 |
$-619.20 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.00 | 71 | $15,975.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $237.49 | 71 | $16,861.79 | $17,069.23 |
+$886.79 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $247.17 | 69 | $17,054.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $261.70 | 69 | $18,056.96 | $18,071.46 |
+$1,002.23 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $258.44 | 69 | $17,832.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $271.89 | 69 | $18,760.75 | $18,999.85 |
+$928.39 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $276.33 | 68 | $18,790.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $267.28 | 68 | $18,175.04 | $18,384.45 |
$-615.40 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $271.95 | 67 | $18,220.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.27 | 67 | $17,639.09 | $17,803.22 |
$-581.23 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $270.73 | 65 | $17,597.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $262.35 | 65 | $17,052.75 | $17,258.20 |
$-545.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $264.28 | 65 | $17,178.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $255.64 | 65 | $16,616.60 | $16,696.60 |
$-561.60 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $285.27 | 58 | $16,545.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $301.67 | 58 | $17,496.86 | $17,647.95 |
+$951.35 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $311.87 | 56 | $17,464.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $328.30 | 56 | $18,384.52 | $18,567.75 |
+$919.80 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $332.28 | 55 | $18,275.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $322.18 | 55 | $17,719.90 | $18,012.25 |
$-555.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:25pm ET | $318.34 | 56 | $17,827.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.50 | 56 | $17,220.00 | $17,405.21 |
$-607.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $328.95 | 52 | $17,105.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $318.85 | 52 | $16,580.20 | $16,880.01 |
$-525.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $371.29 | 45 | $16,708.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $358.29 | 45 | $16,122.83 | $16,294.78 |
$-585.23 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $337.00 | 48 | $16,176.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $323.65 | 48 | $15,535.44 | $15,654.22 |
$-640.56 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $333.80 | 46 | $15,354.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $323.69 | 46 | $14,889.74 | $15,189.16 |
$-465.06 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,189.16
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,189.16
Total Return:
+51.89%