Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:24:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 47.0/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 37.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,368.79
Current Value
$15,034.50
Period P&L
$1,665.71
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+7.18%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
+1.54%
Avg Hold Time
18.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,502.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,665.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,665.71
Gross Return
+12.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,368.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $654.92 20 $13,098.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $634.85 20 $12,697.00 $13,009.99 $-401.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $631.34 20 $12,626.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $676.68 20 $13,533.70 $13,916.89 +$906.90
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $679.01 20 $13,580.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $713.72 20 $14,274.40 $14,611.09 +$694.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $711.09 20 $14,221.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:40am ET $746.78 20 $14,935.60 $15,324.94 +$713.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:50am ET $739.53 20 $14,790.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $751.93 20 $15,038.60 $15,572.84 +$247.90
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $752.20 20 $15,044.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $728.34 20 $14,566.80 $15,095.64 $-477.20
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $744.11 20 $14,882.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $744.91 20 $14,898.30 $15,111.74 +$16.10
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:05am ET $773.47 19 $14,695.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:05am ET $769.40 19 $14,618.60 $15,034.50 $-77.24
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,034.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,034.50
Total Return: +50.34%
Back to Marcus Reversal