SQQQ Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 45 trades in period
-27.41%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,631.82
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$6,381.07
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality
3.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.0
30-Day Momentum
1
-5.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,381.07
Current Value
$4,631.82
Period P&L
$-1,749.28
Max Drawdown
-66.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
16 /
29
Best Trade
+9.06%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$416,834.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,749.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,749.28
Gross Return
-27.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.41%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,381.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.60 | 81 | $6,204.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $80.47 | 81 | $6,518.07 | $6,554.44 |
+$313.47 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.44 | 76 | $6,493.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $89.80 | 76 | $6,824.80 | $6,885.80 |
+$331.36 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:05pm ET | $80.98 | 85 | $6,883.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.06 | 85 | $6,634.99 | $6,637.49 |
$-248.31 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $77.63 | 85 | $6,598.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.99 | 85 | $5,779.15 | $5,818.09 |
$-819.40 (-12.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $69.29 | 83 | $5,751.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.17 | 83 | $5,575.33 | $5,642.35 |
$-175.74 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $67.40 | 83 | $5,594.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.35 | 83 | $5,341.05 | $5,389.19 |
$-253.16 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.79 | 87 | $5,375.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $59.88 | 87 | $5,209.55 | $5,223.01 |
$-166.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $58.90 | 88 | $5,183.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $57.11 | 88 | $5,025.67 | $5,065.47 |
$-157.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.44 | 89 | $5,022.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.74 | 89 | $4,871.42 | $4,914.17 |
$-151.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.70 | 91 | $4,887.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $52.08 | 91 | $4,739.29 | $4,766.35 |
$-147.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.94 | 95 | $4,744.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $48.39 | 95 | $4,596.66 | $4,618.70 |
$-147.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $46.19 | 100 | $4,618.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $44.66 | 100 | $4,466.00 | $4,466.20 |
$-152.50 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $43.69 | 102 | $4,455.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $42.35 | 102 | $4,319.19 | $4,329.52 |
$-136.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $44.48 | 97 | $4,314.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.94 | 97 | $4,165.18 | $4,180.14 |
$-149.38 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $41.08 | 101 | $4,149.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $43.31 | 101 | $4,373.81 | $4,404.86 |
+$224.72 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $43.75 | 100 | $4,375.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $42.42 | 100 | $4,241.50 | $4,270.91 |
$-133.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $42.01 | 101 | $4,243.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 101 | $4,041.07 | $4,068.96 |
$-201.95 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.90 | 104 | $4,045.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $37.69 | 104 | $3,919.75 | $3,943.11 |
$-125.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $37.91 | 104 | $3,942.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.65 | 104 | $3,812.12 | $3,812.60 |
$-130.51 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET | $37.98 | 100 | $3,797.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $40.12 | 100 | $4,012.01 | $4,027.00 |
+$214.40 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $41.17 | 97 | $3,993.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $39.90 | 97 | $3,870.31 | $3,904.30 |
$-122.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $43.52 | 89 | $3,873.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $42.16 | 89 | $3,752.24 | $3,783.25 |
$-121.05 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $39.75 | 95 | $3,776.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.25 | 95 | $3,538.75 | $3,545.76 |
$-237.49 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $37.83 | 93 | $3,518.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 1:20pm ET | $36.66 | 93 | $3,409.38 | $3,436.95 |
$-108.81 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $36.96 | 92 | $3,400.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.31 | 92 | $3,708.52 | $3,745.16 |
+$308.21 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $39.30 | 95 | $3,733.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $41.44 | 95 | $3,936.80 | $3,948.46 |
+$203.30 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $39.83 | 99 | $3,942.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $38.56 | 99 | $3,817.93 | $3,823.62 |
$-124.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $36.23 | 105 | $3,804.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $38.35 | 105 | $4,026.76 | $4,046.23 |
+$222.61 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $38.06 | 106 | $4,034.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $39.97 | 106 | $4,236.82 | $4,248.69 |
+$202.46 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $40.84 | 104 | $4,247.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.98 | 104 | $4,053.78 | $4,055.48 |
$-193.21 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $37.98 | 106 | $4,025.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $39.90 | 106 | $4,228.87 | $4,258.47 |
+$202.99 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $39.30 | 108 | $4,244.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $41.30 | 108 | $4,460.39 | $4,474.53 |
+$216.06 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.88 | 109 | $4,455.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $43.09 | 109 | $4,696.48 | $4,715.09 |
+$240.56 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $43.49 | 108 | $4,696.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $45.83 | 108 | $4,949.50 | $4,967.68 |
+$252.59 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $46.42 | 107 | $4,966.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $48.74 | 107 | $5,215.71 | $5,216.46 |
+$248.78 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $44.83 | 116 | $5,200.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.03 | 116 | $4,991.48 | $5,007.67 |
$-208.79 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $42.42 | 118 | $5,006.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.96 | 118 | $4,715.28 | $4,716.80 |
$-290.87 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $38.40 | 122 | $4,685.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $37.22 | 122 | $4,541.45 | $4,572.84 |
$-143.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $37.52 | 121 | $4,539.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $36.29 | 121 | $4,391.69 | $4,424.61 |
$-148.23 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $36.40 | 121 | $4,405.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $38.24 | 121 | $4,626.44 | $4,646.04 |
+$221.43 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $38.13 | 121 | $4,613.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.15 | 121 | $4,857.87 | $4,890.18 |
+$244.14 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $39.08 | 125 | $4,885.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $37.90 | 125 | $4,737.51 | $4,742.69 |
$-147.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 3:45pm ET | $38.63 | 122 | $4,713.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.74 | 122 | $4,970.28 | $4,999.50 |
+$256.81 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.02 | 124 | $4,962.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.64 | 124 | $4,791.36 | $4,828.38 |
$-171.12 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.23 | 126 | $4,816.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.67 | 126 | $4,620.42 | $4,631.82 |
$-196.56 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,631.82
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,368.18
Total Return:
-53.68%