USO Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 42 trades in period
+5.99%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,700.95
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$14,813.92
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
33.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 32.9
30-Day Momentum
45
+13.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.0
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,813.92
Current Value
$15,700.95
Period P&L
$887.01
Max Drawdown
-18.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
21 /
21
Best Trade
+7.48%
Worst Trade
-15.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,127,838.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$887.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$887.01
Gross Return
+5.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.99%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,813.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $113.34 | 130 | $14,734.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.13 | 130 | $14,186.90 | $14,266.64 |
$-547.30 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $117.64 | 121 | $14,233.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $124.09 | 121 | $15,014.88 | $15,047.68 |
+$781.04 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET | $127.62 | 117 | $14,931.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $123.43 | 117 | $14,441.31 | $14,557.45 |
$-490.23 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $134.01 | 108 | $14,473.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $140.81 | 108 | $15,207.49 | $15,291.86 |
+$734.41 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $140.29 | 108 | $15,151.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.21 | 108 | $12,874.25 | $13,014.25 |
$-2,277.61 (-15.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $126.13 | 103 | $12,991.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $133.26 | 103 | $13,725.90 | $13,748.76 |
+$734.51 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $126.80 | 108 | $13,694.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $122.80 | 108 | $13,262.40 | $13,316.76 |
$-432.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $127.03 | 104 | $13,211.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.85 | 104 | $11,944.79 | $12,050.04 |
$-1,266.72 (-9.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $121.55 | 99 | $12,033.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $128.00 | 99 | $12,672.00 | $12,688.59 |
+$638.55 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $130.51 | 97 | $12,659.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $137.15 | 97 | $13,303.55 | $13,332.67 |
+$644.08 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET | $130.04 | 102 | $13,264.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.33 | 102 | $14,211.65 | $14,280.24 |
+$947.57 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $147.18 | 97 | $14,276.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.35 | 97 | $13,807.95 | $13,811.73 |
$-468.51 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $147.09 | 93 | $13,678.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.51 | 93 | $12,602.43 | $12,735.25 |
$-1,076.48 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.82 | 98 | $12,624.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $136.26 | 98 | $13,353.28 | $13,464.17 |
+$728.92 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:05pm ET | $133.90 | 100 | $13,390.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET | $140.71 | 100 | $14,071.01 | $14,145.18 |
+$681.01 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.55 | 98 | $14,067.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 11:30am ET | $150.83 | 98 | $14,781.34 | $14,858.63 |
+$713.45 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:45pm ET | $151.50 | 98 | $14,847.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $146.70 | 98 | $14,376.60 | $14,388.23 |
$-470.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $147.57 | 97 | $14,314.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $142.26 | 97 | $13,799.22 | $13,873.16 |
$-515.07 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.09 | 101 | $13,745.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.43 | 101 | $13,274.43 | $13,402.50 |
$-470.66 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $130.40 | 102 | $13,301.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $137.65 | 102 | $14,040.30 | $14,141.49 |
+$738.99 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $134.77 | 104 | $14,016.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $130.72 | 104 | $13,594.88 | $13,720.29 |
$-421.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $134.58 | 101 | $13,592.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $129.74 | 101 | $13,104.24 | $13,231.95 |
$-488.34 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:20pm ET | $125.71 | 105 | $13,199.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.01 | 105 | $12,601.05 | $12,633.45 |
$-598.50 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.47 | 108 | $12,578.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.41 | 108 | $12,140.28 | $12,194.97 |
$-438.48 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.67 | 108 | $12,168.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.45 | 108 | $11,496.60 | $11,523.21 |
$-671.76 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.12 | 108 | $11,460.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.81 | 108 | $11,103.48 | $11,165.74 |
$-357.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $104.43 | 106 | $11,069.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.24 | 106 | $11,897.44 | $11,993.60 |
+$827.86 (+7.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $110.21 | 108 | $11,902.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $115.83 | 108 | $12,509.64 | $12,600.56 |
+$606.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $118.92 | 105 | $12,486.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $124.89 | 105 | $13,113.45 | $13,227.41 |
+$626.85 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $131.31 | 100 | $13,131.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.37 | 100 | $13,837.04 | $13,933.45 |
+$706.04 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.75 | 101 | $13,912.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.56 | 101 | $12,984.56 | $13,005.27 |
$-928.18 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.47 | 105 | $12,964.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 12:00pm ET | $119.43 | 105 | $12,539.63 | $12,580.55 |
$-424.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $127.82 | 98 | $12,526.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.68 | 98 | $11,826.64 | $11,880.83 |
$-699.72 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.51 | 101 | $11,767.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $122.39 | 101 | $12,361.40 | $12,474.72 |
+$593.89 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $124.54 | 100 | $12,453.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.84 | 100 | $13,184.00 | $13,205.22 |
+$730.50 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:45pm ET | $132.13 | 99 | $13,080.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.11 | 99 | $12,682.89 | $12,807.74 |
$-397.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $126.07 | 101 | $12,733.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.93 | 101 | $13,425.93 | $13,500.60 |
+$692.86 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $136.29 | 99 | $13,492.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $143.25 | 99 | $14,181.75 | $14,189.64 |
+$689.04 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $142.00 | 99 | $14,058.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $149.26 | 99 | $14,776.74 | $14,908.38 |
+$718.74 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.61 | 97 | $14,803.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $160.50 | 97 | $15,568.58 | $15,673.79 |
+$765.41 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $156.28 | 100 | $15,628.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.87 | 100 | $14,887.00 | $14,932.79 |
$-741.00 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.35 | 102 | $14,825.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $152.88 | 102 | $15,593.86 | $15,700.95 |
+$768.16 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,700.95
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,700.95
Total Return:
+57.01%