UVXY Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 47 trades in period
-42.50%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,571.36
Current Value
26%
Win Rate
$14,907.36
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
2
-9.1%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,907.36
Current Value
$8,571.36
Period P&L
$-6,336.01
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
12 /
35
Best Trade
+12.35%
Worst Trade
-15.08%
Avg Trade Return
-1.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,187,993.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6,336.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,336.01
Gross Return
-42.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-42.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,907.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $50.35 | 302 | $15,205.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.92 | 302 | $15,982.93 | $16,028.88 |
+$777.23 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.42 | 284 | $16,023.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $59.31 | 284 | $16,842.65 | $16,848.22 |
+$819.34 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.16 | 300 | $16,848.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $54.02 | 300 | $16,206.00 | $16,206.22 |
$-642.00 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET | $49.82 | 325 | $16,191.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.10 | 325 | $17,906.98 | $17,921.70 |
+$1,715.48 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.35 | 355 | $17,874.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $48.71 | 355 | $17,292.05 | $17,339.50 |
$-582.20 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.17 | 338 | $17,295.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.46 | 338 | $14,687.79 | $14,731.83 |
$-2,607.67 (-15.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $43.81 | 336 | $14,720.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $42.35 | 336 | $14,228.42 | $14,240.06 |
$-491.77 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $41.01 | 347 | $14,230.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $39.72 | 347 | $13,782.84 | $13,792.47 |
$-447.59 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $38.52 | 358 | $13,790.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $37.34 | 358 | $13,367.76 | $13,370.07 |
$-422.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $38.99 | 342 | $13,334.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $40.96 | 342 | $14,008.35 | $14,043.84 |
+$673.77 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET | $38.81 | 361 | $14,010.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $37.63 | 361 | $13,584.43 | $13,617.86 |
$-425.98 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $37.37 | 364 | $13,602.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.07 | 364 | $13,129.48 | $13,144.66 |
$-473.20 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $35.77 | 367 | $13,127.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $37.68 | 367 | $13,828.56 | $13,845.63 |
+$700.97 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $36.53 | 379 | $13,842.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $35.35 | 379 | $13,397.65 | $13,400.30 |
$-445.33 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $35.78 | 374 | $13,381.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $37.61 | 374 | $14,066.14 | $14,084.72 |
+$684.42 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $36.03 | 390 | $14,051.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $34.90 | 390 | $13,611.04 | $13,644.06 |
$-440.66 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $34.18 | 399 | $13,637.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $32.97 | 399 | $13,157.02 | $13,163.26 |
$-480.80 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.60 | 416 | $13,145.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $30.60 | 416 | $12,729.64 | $12,747.30 |
$-415.96 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 3:45pm ET | $29.50 | 432 | $12,744.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $28.53 | 432 | $12,325.52 | $12,328.82 |
$-418.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $29.25 | 421 | $12,316.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $28.33 | 421 | $11,929.03 | $11,941.50 |
$-387.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $29.29 | 407 | $11,921.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $30.84 | 407 | $12,551.88 | $12,572.35 |
+$630.85 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $31.74 | 396 | $12,569.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $30.75 | 396 | $12,177.00 | $12,180.31 |
$-392.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.56 | 458 | $12,164.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $25.73 | 458 | $11,782.05 | $11,797.88 |
$-382.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.53 | 462 | $11,794.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $26.95 | 462 | $12,450.90 | $12,453.92 |
+$656.04 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.15 | 495 | $12,449.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.25 | 495 | $13,986.22 | $13,990.89 |
+$1,536.97 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.10 | 516 | $13,983.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.18 | 516 | $13,508.88 | $13,516.17 |
$-474.72 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $27.72 | 487 | $13,499.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.23 | 487 | $12,773.82 | $12,790.35 |
$-725.82 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $25.39 | 503 | $12,771.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $24.61 | 503 | $12,381.34 | $12,400.53 |
$-389.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.99 | 516 | $12,378.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $25.35 | 516 | $13,080.60 | $13,102.96 |
+$702.43 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $24.24 | 540 | $13,086.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $23.48 | 540 | $12,679.20 | $12,695.26 |
$-407.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.65 | 536 | $12,673.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $22.86 | 536 | $12,252.91 | $12,274.45 |
$-420.81 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $25.10 | 489 | $12,273.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.98 | 489 | $11,726.22 | $11,726.77 |
$-547.68 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.21 | 484 | $11,717.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $23.48 | 484 | $11,364.32 | $11,373.45 |
$-353.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $23.85 | 476 | $11,354.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.83 | 476 | $12,292.70 | $12,311.17 |
+$937.72 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.38 | 485 | $12,308.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $24.55 | 485 | $11,906.75 | $11,909.35 |
$-401.82 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $25.03 | 475 | $11,891.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $24.26 | 475 | $11,523.50 | $11,541.23 |
$-368.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:20pm ET | $25.33 | 455 | $11,525.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $24.42 | 455 | $11,111.10 | $11,127.23 |
$-414.00 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $24.60 | 452 | $11,121.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.84 | 452 | $10,775.68 | $10,781.45 |
$-345.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.81 | 472 | $10,766.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $22.08 | 472 | $10,421.76 | $10,436.89 |
$-344.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $21.58 | 483 | $10,423.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $20.83 | 483 | $10,060.89 | $10,074.69 |
$-362.20 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.23 | 497 | $10,054.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $19.57 | 497 | $9,723.81 | $9,743.59 |
$-331.10 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $19.89 | 489 | $9,723.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.24 | 489 | $9,408.36 | $9,428.18 |
$-315.41 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $19.07 | 494 | $9,418.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $18.44 | 494 | $9,111.83 | $9,121.90 |
$-306.28 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $18.35 | 497 | $9,119.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.79 | 497 | $8,841.63 | $8,843.58 |
$-278.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.14 | 516 | $8,842.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $18.01 | 516 | $9,293.16 | $9,294.56 |
+$450.98 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.29 | 508 | $9,291.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.40 | 508 | $8,839.20 | $8,842.44 |
$-452.12 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $17.60 | 502 | $8,837.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $17.07 | 502 | $8,566.63 | $8,571.36 |
$-271.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,571.36
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,428.64
Total Return:
-14.29%