Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 23.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 22.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,036.23
Current Value
$12,899.81
Period P&L
$863.58
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+12.83%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
9.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$381,905.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$863.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$863.58
Gross Return
+7.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,036.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $454.99 26 $11,829.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $440.62 26 $11,456.05 $11,772.77 $-373.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $448.39 26 $11,658.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $434.79 26 $11,304.60 $11,419.23 $-353.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $439.83 25 $10,995.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $426.45 25 $10,661.25 $11,084.86 $-334.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $424.05 26 $11,025.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:20am ET $445.28 26 $11,577.28 $11,636.97 +$552.11
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
5 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $449.04 25 $11,226.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $435.42 25 $10,885.50 $11,296.47 $-340.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $439.17 25 $10,979.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $425.99 25 $10,649.75 $10,966.97 $-329.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $440.39 24 $10,569.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $462.93 24 $11,110.32 $11,507.81 +$540.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $452.49 25 $11,312.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $476.49 25 $11,912.25 $12,107.81 +$600.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $482.16 25 $12,054.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $508.62 25 $12,715.50 $12,769.31 +$661.50
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $513.29 24 $12,318.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $496.92 24 $11,926.08 $12,376.43 $-392.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:30am ET $486.39 25 $12,159.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $471.76 25 $11,794.00 $12,010.68 $-365.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $479.53 25 $11,988.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $541.04 25 $13,526.00 $13,548.43 +$1,537.75
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
24.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $528.81 25 $13,220.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $511.41 25 $12,785.25 $13,113.43 $-435.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $504.48 25 $12,611.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:50am ET $529.71 25 $13,242.75 $13,744.31 +$630.88
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:30pm ET $542.12 25 $13,553.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $524.51 25 $13,112.75 $13,304.06 $-440.25
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $522.98 25 $13,074.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:20am ET $506.81 25 $12,670.25 $12,899.81 $-404.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,899.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,899.81
Total Return: +29.00%
Back to Marcus Reversal