Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:35

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 27.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,236.28
Current Value
$12,677.00
Period P&L
$440.71
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+5.57%
Worst Trade
-3.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
10.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$391,169.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$440.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$440.71
Gross Return
+3.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,236.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $50.26 240 $12,062.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $48.74 240 $11,698.80 $11,746.69 $-363.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $47.37 248 $11,746.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $45.78 248 $11,353.44 $11,353.61 $-393.08
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $44.67 254 $11,346.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $46.92 254 $11,916.41 $11,923.84 +$570.23
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $46.60 255 $11,881.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $48.13 255 $12,274.42 $12,316.54 +$392.70
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
5 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:00am ET $48.01 256 $12,289.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:30am ET $46.56 256 $11,919.36 $11,946.62 $-369.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:30am ET $45.55 262 $11,934.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET $47.90 262 $12,549.80 $12,562.32 +$615.70
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $48.05 261 $12,541.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:30pm ET $46.58 261 $12,157.35 $12,178.62 $-383.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $45.55 267 $12,161.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $44.04 267 $11,758.68 $11,775.45 $-403.17
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET $43.03 273 $11,747.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $41.69 273 $11,381.10 $11,409.36 $-366.09
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:50am ET $41.85 272 $11,383.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:35am ET $43.97 272 $11,959.84 $11,986.00 +$576.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $44.22 271 $11,984.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $46.69 271 $12,653.07 $12,654.10 +$668.10
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:50am ET $48.45 261 $12,644.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $46.82 261 $12,220.02 $12,229.19 $-424.91
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $45.60 268 $12,219.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $47.92 268 $12,841.22 $12,850.76 +$621.57
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:15pm ET $48.37 265 $12,816.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:45am ET $50.81 265 $13,463.33 $13,497.36 +$646.60
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $50.63 266 $13,468.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $49.08 266 $13,053.95 $13,082.40 $-414.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $47.88 273 $13,072.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $46.40 273 $12,667.20 $12,677.00 $-405.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,677.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,677.00
Total Return: +26.77%
Back to Marcus Reversal