BRK-B Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-04 16:35:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 52 trades executed
+9.61%
2 Years Return
$13,325.63
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$12,157.03
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.4/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
31.6/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 27.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,853
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,157.03
Current Value
$13,325.63
Total P&L
$1,168.58
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
39
Winners / Losers
18 /
21
Best Trade
+5.42%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
16.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$983,099.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,168.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,168.58
Gross Return
+9.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.61%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,157.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2024 12:10pm ET | $449.97 | 26 | $11,699.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $460.71 | 26 | $11,978.46 | $12,319.28 |
+$279.24 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 2:00pm ET | $464.45 | 26 | $12,075.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $447.81 | 26 | $11,643.06 | $11,886.77 |
$-432.51 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2024 3:25pm ET | $442.47 | 26 | $11,504.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 11:10am ET | $464.99 | 26 | $12,089.74 | $12,472.30 |
+$585.53 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 12:35pm ET | $461.63 | 27 | $12,464.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 27, 2024 9:40am ET | $485.30 | 27 | $13,102.97 | $13,111.25 |
+$638.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 9:35am ET | $481.20 | 27 | $12,992.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 10:15am ET | $466.72 | 27 | $12,601.45 | $12,720.30 |
$-390.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 6, 2024 9:50am ET | $468.33 | 27 | $12,644.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $454.09 | 27 | $12,260.43 | $12,335.82 |
$-384.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 2:00pm ET | $455.73 | 27 | $12,304.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 11:15am ET | $442.05 | 27 | $11,935.28 | $11,966.40 |
$-369.43 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2025 11:50am ET | $444.27 | 26 | $11,551.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 17, 2025 10:10am ET | $466.51 | 26 | $12,129.26 | $12,544.64 |
+$578.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 12:05pm ET | $469.99 | 26 | $12,219.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2025 12:10pm ET | $455.40 | 26 | $11,840.27 | $12,165.06 |
$-379.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2025 12:25pm ET | $459.98 | 26 | $11,959.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $483.16 | 26 | $12,562.03 | $12,767.61 |
+$602.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $479.00 | 26 | $12,454.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 2:50pm ET | $503.39 | 26 | $13,088.14 | $13,401.75 |
+$634.14 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 3:50pm ET | $499.50 | 26 | $12,987.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $526.55 | 26 | $13,690.30 | $14,105.06 |
+$703.30 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2025 12:45pm ET | $527.56 | 26 | $13,716.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $510.15 | 26 | $13,263.90 | $13,652.50 |
$-452.56 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 3:25pm ET | $486.40 | 28 | $13,619.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 9:55am ET | $511.29 | 28 | $14,315.98 | $14,349.28 |
+$696.78 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $513.85 | 27 | $13,873.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 2:10pm ET | $498.43 | 27 | $13,457.61 | $13,932.94 |
$-416.34 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 11:30am ET | $526.92 | 26 | $13,699.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $510.66 | 26 | $13,277.03 | $13,510.09 |
$-422.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $511.34 | 26 | $13,294.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $494.58 | 26 | $12,859.08 | $13,074.28 |
$-435.81 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
28d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $493.55 | 26 | $12,832.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 12:20pm ET | $478.73 | 26 | $12,446.98 | $12,688.96 |
$-385.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
28.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $482.13 | 26 | $12,535.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $459.38 | 26 | $11,943.75 | $12,097.41 |
$-591.55 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
28d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $464.54 | 26 | $12,077.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $488.62 | 26 | $12,703.99 | $12,723.49 |
+$626.08 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $485.48 | 26 | $12,622.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $490.17 | 26 | $12,744.42 | $12,845.42 |
+$121.93 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 11:55am ET | $495.87 | 25 | $12,396.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 11:55am ET | $488.98 | 25 | $12,224.38 | $12,673.17 |
$-172.25 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:40am ET | $489.83 | 25 | $12,245.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $474.55 | 25 | $11,863.75 | $12,291.17 |
$-382.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.59 | 25 | $11,964.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:35am ET | $502.65 | 25 | $12,566.25 | $12,892.67 |
+$601.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 2:55pm ET | $512.19 | 25 | $12,804.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:25am ET | $496.82 | 25 | $12,420.50 | $12,508.42 |
$-384.25 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $493.72 | 25 | $12,343.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $500.15 | 25 | $12,503.75 | $12,669.17 |
+$160.75 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $496.80 | 25 | $12,420.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $481.88 | 25 | $12,046.91 | $12,296.08 |
$-373.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $481.45 | 25 | $12,036.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $505.63 | 25 | $12,640.75 | $12,900.58 |
+$604.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $505.17 | 25 | $12,629.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 7:00pm ET | $498.00 | 25 | $12,450.00 | $12,721.33 |
$-179.25 (-1.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $500.76 | 25 | $12,519.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $485.48 | 25 | $12,137.12 | $12,339.45 |
$-381.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $473.81 | 26 | $12,319.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $498.49 | 26 | $12,960.87 | $12,981.26 |
+$641.81 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $493.44 | 26 | $12,829.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $478.43 | 26 | $12,439.18 | $12,591.00 |
$-390.26 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.79 | 26 | $12,370.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $471.12 | 26 | $12,249.12 | $12,469.71 |
$-121.29 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $477.93 | 26 | $12,426.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $479.78 | 26 | $12,474.28 | $12,517.68 |
+$47.97 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $472.56 | 26 | $12,286.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $496.80 | 26 | $12,916.93 | $13,148.05 |
+$630.37 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $496.77 | 26 | $12,916.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $489.42 | 26 | $12,724.92 | $12,956.95 |
$-191.10 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $491.89 | 26 | $12,789.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $518.48 | 26 | $13,480.48 | $13,648.29 |
+$691.34 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $514.04 | 26 | $13,365.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $498.48 | 26 | $12,960.48 | $13,243.73 |
$-404.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $504.49 | 26 | $13,116.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $507.64 | 26 | $13,198.64 | $13,325.63 |
+$81.90 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,325.63
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,325.63
Total Return:
+33.26%