Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 30.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 27.4

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.1 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,353
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
512 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,891.03
Current Value
$13,938.13
Total P&L
$2,047.10
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
59
Winners / Losers
25 / 34
Best Trade
+12.64%
Worst Trade
-8.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
10d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,644,534.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,047.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,047.10
Gross Return
+17.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 512 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,891.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2024 2:05pm ET $121.67 98 $11,923.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2024 11:10am ET $118.01 98 $11,564.98 $11,577.43 $-358.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2024 12:20pm ET $118.46 97 $11,490.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2024 9:30am ET $126.95 97 $12,313.67 $12,400.48 +$823.05
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 2:10pm ET $130.79 94 $12,294.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 10:55am ET $126.67 94 $11,906.98 $12,013.20 $-387.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 11:00am ET $125.24 95 $11,897.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2024 2:10pm ET $131.53 95 $12,494.88 $12,610.75 +$597.55
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 3:05pm ET $129.98 97 $12,608.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 3:40pm ET $126.04 97 $12,225.40 $12,228.08 $-382.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 1:10pm ET $125.29 97 $12,153.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2024 1:30pm ET $121.53 97 $11,788.41 $11,863.36 $-364.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET $120.66 98 $11,824.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $116.91 98 $11,456.94 $11,496.11 $-367.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 10:40am ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 9:50am ET $123.84 97 $12,012.48 $12,081.99 +$585.88
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 10:35am ET $122.77 98 $12,031.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $129.99 98 $12,738.53 $12,789.38 +$707.38
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 12:10pm ET $129.79 98 $12,719.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET $146.19 98 $14,326.62 $14,396.58 +$1,607.20
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 12:25pm ET $144.75 99 $14,329.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2025 1:05pm ET $152.01 99 $15,048.99 $15,115.81 +$719.23
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 2:45pm ET $156.08 96 $14,983.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 11:40am ET $151.33 96 $14,527.68 $14,659.81 $-456.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 12:05pm ET $150.83 97 $14,630.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 2:15pm ET $158.42 97 $15,366.35 $15,395.66 +$735.84
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 11:40am ET $155.36 99 $15,380.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $150.63 99 $14,912.37 $14,927.39 $-468.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $149.58 99 $14,808.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 9:40am ET $157.08 99 $15,550.92 $15,669.89 +$742.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $160.76 97 $15,593.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $169.05 97 $16,397.50 $16,474.15 +$804.27
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 1:40pm ET $169.05 97 $16,397.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $163.20 97 $15,829.92 $15,906.22 $-567.94
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 3:15pm ET $164.16 96 $15,758.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 10:30am ET $172.50 96 $16,560.00 $16,707.34 +$801.12
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 11:50am ET $173.21 96 $16,627.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:35am ET $182.05 96 $17,476.32 $17,555.98 +$848.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:35am ET $180.37 97 $17,495.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:35am ET $177.74 97 $17,240.30 $17,300.36 $-255.61
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 3:10pm ET $180.51 95 $17,148.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $164.79 95 $15,654.58 $15,806.49 $-1,493.88
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET $162.83 97 $15,794.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 10:40am ET $157.89 97 $15,315.52 $15,327.44 $-479.04
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 11:20am ET $163.05 94 $15,326.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:35am ET $171.35 94 $16,106.90 $16,107.64 +$780.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 3:40pm ET $174.02 92 $16,009.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:40am ET $168.41 92 $15,493.72 $15,591.52 $-516.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $166.24 93 $15,459.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 11:20am ET $160.91 93 $14,964.63 $15,096.30 $-495.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:50am ET $160.56 94 $15,092.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 10:55am ET $168.67 94 $15,854.51 $15,858.64 +$762.34
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 10:55am ET $166.27 95 $15,795.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $161.25 95 $15,318.28 $15,381.26 $-477.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 10:50am ET $161.70 95 $15,361.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $156.28 95 $14,846.60 $14,866.84 $-514.42
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:35am ET $151.45 98 $14,841.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:30am ET $159.21 98 $15,602.58 $15,627.81 +$760.97
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:30am ET $157.45 99 $15,587.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $150.62 99 $14,911.38 $14,951.64 $-676.17
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:10pm ET $157.75 94 $14,828.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $151.16 94 $14,208.57 $14,332.18 $-619.46
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 10:05am ET $148.56 96 $14,261.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:50am ET $144.07 96 $13,830.24 $13,900.66 $-431.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 12:30pm ET $143.55 96 $13,780.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:25am ET $150.75 96 $14,471.52 $14,591.38 +$690.72
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $156.38 93 $14,543.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET $151.54 93 $14,093.22 $14,141.26 $-450.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:45am ET $157.15 89 $13,986.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:15pm ET $152.32 89 $13,556.48 $13,711.39 $-429.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:20pm ET $147.93 92 $13,609.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $156.30 92 $14,379.60 $14,481.43 +$770.04
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 12:45pm ET $158.34 91 $14,408.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $166.33 91 $15,136.03 $15,208.52 +$727.09
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
38 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $172.87 87 $15,039.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:00am ET $167.68 87 $14,588.16 $14,756.94 $-451.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $178.93 82 $14,672.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.75 82 $14,903.50 $14,988.19 +$231.25
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
12.1d held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $186.29 80 $14,903.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $179.95 80 $14,396.00 $14,480.99 $-507.20
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $176.46 82 $14,469.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $170.90 82 $14,014.21 $14,025.48 $-455.51
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $170.55 82 $13,985.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $164.04 82 $13,450.87 $13,490.84 $-534.64
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $174.60 77 $13,444.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $168.95 77 $13,009.15 $13,055.79 $-435.05
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:45am ET $163.37 79 $12,906.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $158.40 79 $12,513.60 $12,663.16 $-392.63
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $158.38 79 $12,512.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $153.48 79 $12,124.92 $12,275.67 $-387.49
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $167.52 73 $12,228.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $162.48 73 $11,861.04 $11,907.75 $-367.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $164.37 72 $11,834.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $173.66 72 $12,503.49 $12,576.96 +$669.21
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
48 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $187.25 67 $12,545.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $181.28 67 $12,145.76 $12,176.97 $-399.99
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
49 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:40am ET $181.27 67 $12,145.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $175.66 67 $11,769.55 $11,801.27 $-375.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $174.47 67 $11,689.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $184.27 67 $12,346.42 $12,458.20 +$656.93
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $180.90 68 $12,300.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET $175.42 68 $11,928.56 $12,085.90 $-372.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $177.80 67 $11,912.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $189.29 67 $12,682.43 $12,855.40 +$769.50
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $187.42 68 $12,744.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $181.38 68 $12,333.84 $12,444.68 $-410.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:00am ET $180.56 68 $12,278.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $192.44 68 $13,085.92 $13,252.52 +$807.84
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:55am ET $191.75 69 $13,230.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $202.80 69 $13,993.20 $14,014.97 +$762.45
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET $199.37 70 $13,955.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $193.37 70 $13,535.90 $13,594.97 $-420.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
57 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $189.76 71 $13,472.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 71 $13,561.00 $13,683.24 +$88.27
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $188.78 72 $13,592.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $183.10 72 $13,183.20 $13,274.28 $-408.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $185.77 71 $13,190.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:50am ET $195.13 71 $13,853.88 $13,938.13 +$663.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,938.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,938.13
Total Return: +39.38%
Back to Marcus Reversal