Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 08:36:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.4/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 20.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,319
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,043.40
Current Value
$11,755.89
Period P&L
$-1,287.52
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+6.01%
Worst Trade
-7.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$394,392.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,287.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,287.52
Gross Return
-9.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,043.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET $224.54 57 $12,798.78
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $235.97 57 $13,450.29 $13,474.90 +$651.51
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
27.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $223.20 60 $13,391.70
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $216.36 60 $12,981.30 $13,064.50 $-410.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $219.09 59 $12,926.32
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $210.38 59 $12,412.13 $12,550.31 $-514.19
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:45am ET $215.77 58 $12,514.66
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $226.97 58 $13,164.26 $13,199.91 +$649.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $225.01 58 $13,050.29
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.65 58 $12,043.41 $12,193.03 $-1,006.88
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $214.82 56 $12,030.06
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.54 56 $12,462.24 $12,625.21 +$432.18
(+3.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $232.17 54 $12,537.18
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET $225.19 54 $12,160.24 $12,248.27 $-376.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $224.38 54 $12,116.52
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:55am ET $235.83 54 $12,734.77 $12,866.52 +$618.25
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET $228.57 56 $12,799.92
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:35pm ET $220.99 56 $12,375.16 $12,441.76 $-424.76
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $221.10 56 $12,381.60
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET $212.40 56 $11,894.38 $11,954.54 $-487.22
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:40am ET $207.71 57 $11,839.19
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $218.27 57 $12,441.67 $12,557.03 +$602.49
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $217.33 57 $12,387.81
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $210.79 57 $12,015.03 $12,184.25 $-372.78
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $207.48 58 $12,033.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $200.92 58 $11,653.36 $11,803.77 $-380.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:40am ET $203.68 57 $11,609.76
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET $197.24 57 $11,242.68 $11,436.69 $-367.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $198.96 57 $11,340.44
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $210.91 57 $12,022.15 $12,118.41 +$681.72
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.03 57 $11,971.71
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $203.67 57 $11,609.19 $11,755.89 $-362.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,755.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,755.89
Total Return: +17.56%
Back to Marcus Reversal