ACN Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 45 trades in period
-27.07%
Year to Date Return
$4,507.69
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$6,180.72
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
3.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 3.6
30-Day Momentum
4
+0.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.3
Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,484
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
184 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$6,180.72
Current Value
$4,507.69
Period P&L
$-1,673.02
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
15 /
30
Best Trade
+8.05%
Worst Trade
-6.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$412,685.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,673.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,673.02
Gross Return
-27.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.07%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 184 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,180.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:00am ET | $271.23 | 22 | $5,966.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $262.26 | 22 | $5,769.72 | $6,006.91 |
$-197.23 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $264.77 | 22 | $5,825.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $281.37 | 22 | $6,190.05 | $6,371.92 |
+$365.02 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $284.57 | 22 | $6,260.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $275.73 | 22 | $6,066.12 | $6,177.50 |
$-194.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $288.29 | 21 | $6,054.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $279.64 | 21 | $5,872.34 | $5,995.65 |
$-181.85 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:20pm ET | $279.85 | 21 | $5,876.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $271.24 | 21 | $5,696.04 | $5,814.78 |
$-180.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $259.41 | 22 | $5,706.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.33 | 22 | $5,507.26 | $5,615.13 |
$-199.65 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.87 | 24 | $5,612.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $237.26 | 24 | $5,694.36 | $5,696.60 |
+$81.48 (+1.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.02 | 23 | $5,474.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET | $230.40 | 23 | $5,299.31 | $5,521.45 |
$-175.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $219.11 | 25 | $5,477.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $211.90 | 25 | $5,297.50 | $5,341.20 |
$-180.25 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $214.25 | 24 | $5,142.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $207.59 | 24 | $4,982.16 | $5,181.36 |
$-159.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $200.65 | 25 | $5,016.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.24 | 25 | $4,830.88 | $4,995.99 |
$-185.37 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:15pm ET | $202.91 | 24 | $4,869.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $213.19 | 24 | $5,116.56 | $5,242.71 |
+$246.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $213.99 | 24 | $5,135.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $207.48 | 24 | $4,979.52 | $5,086.35 |
$-156.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $200.85 | 25 | $5,021.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $194.73 | 25 | $4,868.25 | $4,933.35 |
$-153.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $200.70 | 24 | $4,816.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.05 | 24 | $4,657.32 | $4,773.87 |
$-159.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $191.62 | 24 | $4,598.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $184.60 | 24 | $4,430.40 | $4,605.39 |
$-168.48 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $182.11 | 25 | $4,552.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $191.71 | 25 | $4,792.75 | $4,845.39 |
+$240.00 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $192.18 | 25 | $4,804.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.52 | 25 | $4,513.05 | $4,554.07 |
$-291.32 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.15 | 25 | $4,403.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $170.57 | 25 | $4,264.37 | $4,414.70 |
$-139.37 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:25am ET | $180.07 | 24 | $4,321.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.04 | 24 | $4,104.96 | $4,197.98 |
$-216.72 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.50 | 23 | $4,036.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $184.32 | 23 | $4,239.36 | $4,400.84 |
+$202.86 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $196.76 | 22 | $4,328.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.46 | 22 | $4,168.12 | $4,240.24 |
$-160.60 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $181.71 | 23 | $4,179.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.00 | 23 | $4,048.00 | $4,108.80 |
$-131.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.79 | 23 | $3,997.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $168.32 | 23 | $3,871.25 | $3,982.88 |
$-125.92 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $170.49 | 23 | $3,921.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.30 | 23 | $3,802.01 | $3,863.62 |
$-119.26 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.82 | 23 | $3,790.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $159.69 | 23 | $3,672.87 | $3,745.75 |
$-117.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $126.85 | 29 | $3,678.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $122.65 | 29 | $3,556.85 | $3,623.95 |
$-121.80 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $125.43 | 28 | $3,512.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 12:00pm ET | $132.22 | 28 | $3,702.16 | $3,814.07 |
+$190.12 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.40 | 28 | $3,763.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.78 | 28 | $3,969.84 | $4,020.85 |
+$206.78 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.10 | 28 | $3,894.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.40 | 28 | $3,651.20 | $3,777.39 |
$-243.46 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $138.19 | 27 | $3,731.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.17 | 27 | $3,568.59 | $3,614.85 |
$-162.54 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $137.40 | 26 | $3,572.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $144.82 | 26 | $3,765.32 | $3,807.64 |
+$192.79 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $143.08 | 26 | $3,720.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.91 | 26 | $3,585.66 | $3,673.22 |
$-134.42 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $145.29 | 25 | $3,632.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $153.07 | 25 | $3,826.75 | $3,867.72 |
+$194.50 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $165.35 | 23 | $3,803.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $174.53 | 23 | $4,014.24 | $4,078.91 |
+$211.19 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $163.52 | 24 | $3,924.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $172.01 | 24 | $4,128.36 | $4,282.67 |
+$203.76 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $163.46 | 26 | $4,249.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $172.85 | 26 | $4,494.14 | $4,526.85 |
+$244.18 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $178.46 | 25 | $4,461.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $172.97 | 25 | $4,324.25 | $4,389.60 |
$-137.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $175.68 | 24 | $4,216.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $185.55 | 24 | $4,453.18 | $4,626.46 |
+$236.86 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $185.08 | 24 | $4,441.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $194.43 | 24 | $4,666.32 | $4,850.86 |
+$224.40 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $187.97 | 25 | $4,699.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.00 | 25 | $4,450.00 | $4,601.61 |
$-249.25 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $177.07 | 25 | $4,426.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.32 | 25 | $4,783.12 | $4,957.98 |
+$356.37 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $195.42 | 25 | $4,885.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $188.71 | 25 | $4,717.83 | $4,790.31 |
$-167.67 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 12:30pm ET | $189.55 | 25 | $4,738.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $183.85 | 25 | $4,596.25 | $4,647.81 |
$-142.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $185.85 | 25 | $4,646.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $180.24 | 25 | $4,506.00 | $4,507.69 |
$-140.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,507.69
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,492.31
Total Return:
-54.92%