Compendium › Marcus Reversal › BIIB
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BIIB
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+8.49%
Year to Date Return
$7,094.22
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$6,539.28
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,308
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
184 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,539.28
Current Value
$7,094.22
Period P&L
$554.90
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
12 / 14
Best Trade
+6.75%
Worst Trade
-4.55%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
8.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$334,947.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$554.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$554.90
Gross Return
+8.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 184 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,539.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $171.53 37 $6,346.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $180.27 37 $6,669.99 $6,719.51 +$323.57
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $184.77 36 $6,651.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $179.03 36 $6,445.08 $6,512.87 $-206.64
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $168.61 38 $6,407.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $160.94 38 $6,115.72 $6,221.41 $-291.46
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $169.21 36 $6,091.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $177.83 36 $6,401.88 $6,531.73 +$310.32
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $178.58 36 $6,428.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $187.51 36 $6,750.36 $6,853.21 +$321.48
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $193.08 35 $6,757.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $193.67 35 $6,778.45 $6,873.86 +$20.65
(+0.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET $196.17 35 $6,865.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $190.28 35 $6,659.80 $6,667.71 $-206.15
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:05am ET $189.17 35 $6,620.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET $182.54 35 $6,388.90 $6,435.66 $-232.05
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET $184.53 34 $6,274.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $177.20 34 $6,024.63 $6,186.27 $-249.39
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
27d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:40am ET $182.09 33 $6,008.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $176.57 33 $5,826.81 $6,004.28 $-181.99
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $173.40 34 $5,895.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $182.62 34 $6,209.22 $6,317.90 +$313.62
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $185.57 34 $6,309.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $179.96 34 $6,118.64 $6,127.16 $-190.74
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:45pm ET $182.71 33 $6,029.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET $193.50 33 $6,385.50 $6,483.07 +$355.91
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $190.26 34 $6,468.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:25am ET $200.10 34 $6,803.40 $6,817.63 +$334.56
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:55am ET $200.07 34 $6,802.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:30am ET $193.56 34 $6,581.04 $6,596.12 $-221.51
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $191.57 34 $6,513.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $185.59 34 $6,310.19 $6,392.76 $-203.36
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $198.21 32 $6,342.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET $211.60 32 $6,771.04 $6,821.08 +$428.32
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $216.32 31 $6,705.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $209.18 31 $6,484.58 $6,599.89 $-221.19
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $203.87 32 $6,523.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $196.57 32 $6,290.24 $6,366.45 $-233.44
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $197.10 32 $6,307.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET $190.85 32 $6,107.20 $6,166.46 $-199.99
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $195.25 31 $6,052.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:25am ET $205.11 31 $6,358.41 $6,472.12 +$305.66
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:25am ET $209.43 30 $6,283.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET $202.84 30 $6,085.20 $6,274.27 $-197.85
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:20am ET $201.35 31 $6,241.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $212.89 31 $6,599.59 $6,632.01 +$357.74
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $205.71 32 $6,582.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $217.26 32 $6,952.32 $7,001.45 +$369.44
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET $218.29 32 $6,985.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $210.83 32 $6,746.56 $6,762.73 $-238.72
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:30am ET $213.77 31 $6,626.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET $224.46 31 $6,958.26 $7,094.22 +$331.49
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,094.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,905.78
Total Return: -29.06%
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