Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:45:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
6.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 74.6/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 62.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,065
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$20,262.02
Current Value
$23,617.18
Period P&L
$3,355.19
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
11 / 10
Best Trade
+6.13%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
10.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$996,951.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,355.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,355.19
Gross Return
+16.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $20,262.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $402.83 51 $20,544.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $423.98 51 $21,622.73 $21,663.21 +$1,078.40
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $422.01 51 $21,522.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $446.51 51 $22,771.93 $22,912.63 +$1,249.42
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $455.82 50 $22,791.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $483.78 50 $24,189.00 $24,310.44 +$1,397.81
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $470.35 51 $23,987.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $495.35 51 $25,262.60 $25,585.18 +$1,274.74
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $444.89 57 $25,358.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:25am ET $430.23 57 $24,523.11 $24,749.56 $-835.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $453.30 54 $24,478.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $466.93 54 $25,214.41 $25,485.77 +$736.20
(+3.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $449.92 56 $25,195.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $474.64 56 $26,579.84 $26,870.09 +$1,384.32
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $469.94 57 $26,786.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $446.07 57 $25,425.99 $25,509.50 $-1,360.59
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $420.00 60 $25,200.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $404.32 60 $24,259.20 $24,568.70 $-940.80
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $400.75 61 $24,445.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $421.07 61 $25,685.27 $25,808.22 +$1,239.52
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.87 58 $25,396.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $422.53 58 $24,506.74 $24,918.50 $-889.72
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET $427.62 58 $24,801.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $414.53 58 $24,042.74 $24,159.28 $-759.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $423.24 57 $24,124.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $404.70 57 $23,067.90 $23,102.50 $-1,056.78
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
26.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $406.53 56 $22,765.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $393.61 56 $22,042.16 $22,378.98 $-723.52
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $379.97 58 $22,038.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $399.58 58 $23,175.64 $23,516.35 +$1,137.37
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $397.48 59 $23,451.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $384.16 59 $22,665.44 $22,730.18 $-786.17
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $377.74 60 $22,664.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $364.84 60 $21,890.41 $21,956.19 $-773.99
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $369.65 59 $21,809.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $374.04 59 $22,068.36 $22,215.20 +$259.01
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $369.67 60 $22,180.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:15am ET $388.15 60 $23,289.30 $23,324.30 +$1,109.10
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:40am ET $390.01 59 $23,010.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $410.27 59 $24,206.17 $24,519.88 +$1,195.58
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $413.66 59 $24,405.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $398.36 59 $23,503.24 $23,617.18 $-902.70
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,617.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,617.18
Total Return: +136.17%
Back to Marcus Reversal