GOOGL Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 32 trades in period
+40.85%
Year to Date Return
$27,023.96
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$19,186.41
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
59
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
24.8/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
59.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 58.7
30-Day Momentum
29
+6.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.9
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,996
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$19,186.41
Current Value
$27,023.96
Period P&L
$7,837.60
Max Drawdown
-25.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
17 /
15
Best Trade
+10.43%
Worst Trade
-6.14%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,533,523.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,837.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,837.60
Gross Return
+40.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+40.85%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,186.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $312.40 | 61 | $19,056.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $328.04 | 61 | $20,010.14 | $20,108.99 |
+$953.74 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $328.55 | 61 | $20,041.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.14 | 61 | $21,175.54 | $21,243.20 |
+$1,134.21 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $335.44 | 63 | $21,132.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $314.86 | 63 | $19,836.18 | $19,946.66 |
$-1,296.54 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $322.66 | 61 | $19,682.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $324.39 | 61 | $19,787.79 | $20,052.19 |
+$105.53 (+0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.24 | 66 | $19,815.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $315.74 | 66 | $20,838.84 | $21,075.06 |
+$1,022.87 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $312.93 | 67 | $20,966.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $303.11 | 67 | $20,308.37 | $20,417.12 |
$-657.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $306.38 | 66 | $20,221.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.99 | 66 | $19,535.34 | $19,731.38 |
$-685.74 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $294.59 | 66 | $19,442.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $309.34 | 66 | $20,416.45 | $20,704.89 |
+$973.51 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $304.63 | 67 | $20,410.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $295.38 | 67 | $19,790.46 | $20,085.14 |
$-619.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $290.96 | 69 | $20,076.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $282.13 | 69 | $19,466.63 | $19,475.18 |
$-609.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $274.46 | 70 | $19,212.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.00 | 70 | $20,370.00 | $20,632.63 |
+$1,157.45 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $290.17 | 71 | $20,602.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.42 | 71 | $22,750.17 | $22,780.66 |
+$2,148.03 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $313.79 | 72 | $22,592.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $329.76 | 72 | $23,742.36 | $23,930.50 |
+$1,149.84 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $332.86 | 71 | $23,633.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $349.54 | 71 | $24,816.99 | $25,114.43 |
+$1,183.93 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $349.95 | 71 | $24,846.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.92 | 71 | $26,548.32 | $26,815.95 |
+$1,701.52 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $384.36 | 69 | $26,521.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $405.32 | 69 | $27,966.74 | $28,261.50 |
+$1,445.55 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $389.80 | 72 | $28,065.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $376.18 | 72 | $27,084.96 | $27,280.86 |
$-980.64 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.70 | 74 | $27,135.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.56 | 74 | $26,311.59 | $26,456.65 |
$-824.21 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $361.40 | 73 | $26,382.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $350.30 | 73 | $25,571.90 | $25,645.98 |
$-810.67 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $345.50 | 74 | $25,567.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $364.14 | 74 | $26,946.36 | $27,025.34 |
+$1,379.36 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $368.52 | 73 | $26,901.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.51 | 73 | $25,952.23 | $26,075.61 |
$-949.73 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $355.24 | 73 | $25,932.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $373.04 | 73 | $27,231.92 | $27,374.65 |
+$1,299.04 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $361.57 | 75 | $27,117.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.22 | 75 | $25,966.65 | $26,223.55 |
$-1,151.10 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $356.61 | 73 | $26,032.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $345.88 | 73 | $25,249.24 | $25,440.44 |
$-783.11 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $318.27 | 79 | $25,143.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $334.32 | 79 | $26,411.29 | $26,708.40 |
+$1,267.96 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $336.27 | 79 | $26,565.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $353.16 | 79 | $27,899.64 | $28,042.71 |
+$1,334.31 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $374.61 | 74 | $27,720.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $359.70 | 74 | $26,617.81 | $26,939.75 |
$-1,102.96 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $358.50 | 75 | $26,887.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $347.20 | 75 | $26,040.00 | $26,092.25 |
$-847.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $341.26 | 76 | $25,935.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $329.72 | 76 | $25,058.72 | $25,215.22 |
$-877.03 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
27.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $328.11 | 76 | $24,936.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $345.36 | 76 | $26,247.36 | $26,526.22 |
+$1,311.00 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $344.11 | 77 | $26,496.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $361.77 | 77 | $27,856.29 | $27,885.96 |
+$1,359.74 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $346.90 | 80 | $27,752.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.13 | 80 | $26,890.00 | $27,023.96 |
$-862.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$27,023.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$17,023.96
Total Return:
+170.24%