META Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
+22.03%
Year to Date Return
$19,748.39
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$16,183.22
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.8/35
Total Return
16.2/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
37.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 36.8
30-Day Momentum
65
+32.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9
Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,997
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$16,183.22
Current Value
$19,748.39
Period P&L
$3,565.18
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
17 /
21
Best Trade
+11.40%
Worst Trade
-8.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.69%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,210,482.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,565.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,565.18
Gross Return
+22.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,183.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET | $644.01 | 24 | $15,456.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $653.27 | 24 | $15,678.48 | $16,037.05 |
+$222.24 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $639.08 | 25 | $15,976.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $619.47 | 25 | $15,486.63 | $15,546.80 |
$-490.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $619.90 | 25 | $15,497.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $651.24 | 25 | $16,281.00 | $16,330.30 |
+$783.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $668.21 | 24 | $16,037.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $730.79 | 24 | $17,538.96 | $17,832.22 |
+$1,501.92 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $724.20 | 24 | $17,380.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $700.57 | 24 | $16,813.56 | $17,264.98 |
$-567.24 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $671.95 | 25 | $16,798.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $650.39 | 25 | $16,259.75 | $16,725.98 |
$-539.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $678.90 | 24 | $16,293.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $677.37 | 24 | $16,256.88 | $16,689.26 |
$-36.72 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $638.98 | 26 | $16,613.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $671.00 | 26 | $17,446.00 | $17,521.78 |
+$832.52 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $659.88 | 26 | $17,156.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $637.57 | 26 | $16,576.69 | $16,941.59 |
$-580.19 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $633.57 | 26 | $16,472.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $613.94 | 26 | $15,962.44 | $16,431.21 |
$-510.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $629.13 | 26 | $16,357.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $609.33 | 26 | $15,842.58 | $15,916.41 |
$-514.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $594.66 | 26 | $15,461.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $576.35 | 26 | $14,985.10 | $15,440.41 |
$-476.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $537.92 | 28 | $15,061.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $521.14 | 28 | $14,591.78 | $14,970.43 |
$-469.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $534.79 | 27 | $14,439.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $563.76 | 27 | $15,221.52 | $15,752.49 |
+$782.06 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $585.70 | 26 | $15,228.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $565.70 | 26 | $14,708.07 | $15,232.36 |
$-520.13 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $575.03 | 26 | $14,950.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.00 | 26 | $15,756.00 | $16,037.45 |
+$805.09 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $632.77 | 25 | $15,819.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $664.47 | 25 | $16,611.63 | $16,829.83 |
+$792.38 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $673.93 | 24 | $16,174.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $617.33 | 24 | $14,815.83 | $15,471.34 |
$-1,358.49 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $612.09 | 25 | $15,302.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $630.15 | 25 | $15,753.75 | $15,922.84 |
+$451.50 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $599.38 | 26 | $15,583.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $634.15 | 26 | $16,487.90 | $16,826.99 |
+$904.15 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $616.22 | 27 | $16,638.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $596.20 | 27 | $16,097.40 | $16,286.32 |
$-540.67 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $585.35 | 27 | $15,804.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $565.00 | 27 | $15,255.00 | $15,736.87 |
$-549.45 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $563.78 | 27 | $15,222.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $592.34 | 27 | $15,993.18 | $16,507.99 |
+$771.12 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $595.35 | 27 | $16,074.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $577.48 | 27 | $15,591.96 | $16,025.50 |
$-482.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $575.06 | 27 | $15,526.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $556.60 | 27 | $15,028.20 | $15,527.08 |
$-498.42 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $544.31 | 28 | $15,240.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.38 | 28 | $16,978.64 | $17,265.11 |
+$1,738.03 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $607.26 | 28 | $17,003.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $588.33 | 28 | $16,473.24 | $16,735.07 |
$-530.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $607.76 | 27 | $16,409.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $584.70 | 27 | $15,786.90 | $16,112.45 |
$-622.62 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $668.09 | 24 | $16,034.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $641.72 | 24 | $15,401.40 | $15,479.57 |
$-632.88 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $648.90 | 23 | $14,924.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $629.14 | 23 | $14,470.22 | $15,025.09 |
$-454.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $602.83 | 24 | $14,467.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $584.45 | 24 | $14,026.80 | $14,583.96 |
$-441.13 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $591.03 | 24 | $14,184.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $573.29 | 24 | $13,758.96 | $14,158.08 |
$-425.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 12:45pm ET | $550.77 | 25 | $13,769.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $589.35 | 25 | $14,733.87 | $15,122.83 |
+$964.75 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $574.78 | 26 | $14,944.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $605.00 | 26 | $15,730.00 | $15,908.55 |
+$785.72 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $609.85 | 26 | $15,856.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $650.75 | 26 | $16,919.50 | $16,971.82 |
+$1,063.27 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $651.50 | 26 | $16,939.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $686.82 | 26 | $17,857.32 | $17,890.14 |
+$918.32 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $708.82 | 25 | $17,720.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $746.09 | 25 | $18,652.25 | $18,822.02 |
+$931.88 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $738.09 | 25 | $18,452.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $775.14 | 25 | $19,378.50 | $19,748.39 |
+$926.37 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,748.39
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,748.39
Total Return:
+97.48%