OXY Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 45 trades in period
+57.61%
Year to Date Return
$18,106.48
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$11,487.82
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
15.9/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
35.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 35.2
30-Day Momentum
5
+0.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.6
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,209
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,487.82
Current Value
$18,106.48
Period P&L
$6,618.68
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
24 /
21
Best Trade
+10.47%
Worst Trade
-8.76%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,542,525.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,618.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,618.68
Gross Return
+57.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+57.61%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,487.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $40.06 | 279 | $11,176.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $42.07 | 279 | $11,736.14 | $11,770.70 |
+$559.39 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $41.39 | 284 | $11,753.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $43.48 | 284 | $12,346.90 | $12,364.26 |
+$593.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $42.38 | 291 | $12,332.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $44.62 | 291 | $12,984.42 | $13,016.10 |
+$651.84 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $43.19 | 301 | $13,000.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.56 | 301 | $14,015.76 | $14,031.67 |
+$1,015.57 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $45.16 | 310 | $13,999.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $43.79 | 310 | $13,576.45 | $13,608.52 |
$-423.15 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $45.91 | 296 | $13,589.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $46.69 | 296 | $13,821.72 | $13,840.88 |
+$232.36 (+1.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $45.79 | 302 | $13,830.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.13 | 302 | $15,139.26 | $15,150.05 |
+$1,309.17 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $50.73 | 298 | $15,117.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.04 | 298 | $16,699.92 | $16,732.43 |
+$1,582.38 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $53.39 | 313 | $16,711.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.71 | 313 | $17,748.67 | $17,770.03 |
+$1,037.60 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.40 | 309 | $17,736.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $60.28 | 309 | $18,625.65 | $18,659.08 |
+$889.05 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.47 | 319 | $18,651.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.88 | 319 | $19,739.72 | $19,746.87 |
+$1,087.79 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $60.45 | 326 | $19,706.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $63.56 | 326 | $20,720.56 | $20,760.73 |
+$1,013.86 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $65.43 | 317 | $20,739.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $63.45 | 317 | $20,113.65 | $20,134.65 |
$-626.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $61.31 | 328 | $20,109.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.60 | 328 | $21,188.60 | $21,213.57 |
+$1,078.92 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $62.47 | 339 | $21,177.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.00 | 339 | $19,323.00 | $19,359.24 |
$-1,854.33 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $59.63 | 324 | $19,320.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $57.68 | 324 | $18,688.32 | $18,727.44 |
$-631.80 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $58.24 | 321 | $18,695.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $55.58 | 321 | $17,842.78 | $17,875.18 |
$-852.26 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $55.91 | 319 | $17,835.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.44 | 319 | $17,047.36 | $17,087.25 |
$-787.93 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $54.47 | 313 | $17,050.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.57 | 313 | $18,019.41 | $18,055.99 |
+$968.74 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.10 | 316 | $18,043.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $60.02 | 316 | $18,966.32 | $18,978.71 |
+$922.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $60.11 | 315 | $18,934.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $58.07 | 315 | $18,292.05 | $18,336.11 |
$-642.60 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.68 | 307 | $18,321.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.89 | 307 | $16,851.23 | $16,865.58 |
$-1,470.53 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.62 | 314 | $16,836.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $56.32 | 314 | $17,684.48 | $17,713.38 |
+$847.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $55.88 | 316 | $17,659.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $58.99 | 316 | $18,640.81 | $18,694.53 |
+$981.15 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 1:10pm ET | $59.74 | 312 | $18,639.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $57.94 | 312 | $18,075.72 | $18,130.93 |
$-563.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $57.40 | 315 | $18,081.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $60.30 | 315 | $18,994.41 | $19,044.34 |
+$913.41 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $58.29 | 326 | $19,004.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.53 | 326 | $18,427.15 | $18,467.32 |
$-577.02 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $58.08 | 317 | $18,412.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $56.21 | 317 | $17,818.57 | $17,872.95 |
$-594.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $56.65 | 315 | $17,846.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.63 | 315 | $16,893.45 | $16,920.08 |
$-952.87 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.94 | 313 | $16,884.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.14 | 313 | $16,319.82 | $16,355.11 |
$-564.97 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $51.74 | 316 | $16,351.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $50.18 | 316 | $15,858.02 | $15,861.71 |
$-493.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $49.81 | 318 | $15,837.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $47.97 | 318 | $15,254.49 | $15,278.21 |
$-583.50 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $48.44 | 315 | $15,258.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $50.96 | 315 | $16,052.40 | $16,072.01 |
+$793.80 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $53.28 | 301 | $16,038.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $56.04 | 301 | $16,868.04 | $16,901.27 |
+$829.26 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $57.17 | 295 | $16,865.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $55.45 | 295 | $16,357.75 | $16,393.87 |
$-507.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $53.99 | 303 | $16,358.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 2:05pm ET | $56.71 | 303 | $17,183.13 | $17,218.03 |
+$824.16 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 2:20pm ET | $55.42 | 310 | $17,181.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.69 | 310 | $16,645.45 | $16,681.73 |
$-536.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.45 | 300 | $16,635.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $58.35 | 300 | $17,504.70 | $17,551.43 |
+$869.70 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $59.26 | 296 | $17,542.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $57.48 | 296 | $17,014.08 | $17,023.07 |
$-528.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $58.37 | 291 | $16,984.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.68 | 291 | $17,948.88 | $17,987.73 |
+$964.66 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $61.28 | 293 | $17,955.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.31 | 293 | $17,376.37 | $17,409.06 |
$-578.67 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.75 | 301 | $17,382.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $60.79 | 301 | $18,297.79 | $18,324.10 |
+$915.04 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $60.26 | 304 | $18,320.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $63.33 | 304 | $19,252.32 | $19,255.86 |
+$931.76 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $60.53 | 318 | $19,248.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.69 | 318 | $18,663.42 | $18,670.74 |
$-585.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.85 | 317 | $18,655.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.07 | 317 | $18,091.19 | $18,106.48 |
$-564.26 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,106.48
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,106.48
Total Return:
+81.06%