Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,746
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,580.79
Current Value
$9,270.19
Period P&L
$689.40
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+5.91%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
14.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$285,818.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$689.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$689.40
Gross Return
+8.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,580.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:40am ET $24.95 344 $8,581.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $26.23 344 $9,021.40 $9,036.61 +$440.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
26.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $25.56 353 $9,020.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $26.86 353 $9,481.16 $9,496.86 +$460.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.94 352 $9,484.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.07 352 $9,528.64 $9,540.86 +$44.00
(+0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $27.33 349 $9,537.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $26.45 349 $9,231.05 $9,234.23 $-306.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET $27.23 339 $9,230.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:05am ET $26.36 339 $8,937.73 $8,941.00 $-293.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET $26.41 338 $8,924.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET $27.73 338 $9,372.74 $9,388.85 +$447.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET $27.46 341 $9,363.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $26.62 341 $9,077.39 $9,102.38 $-286.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:40am ET $26.75 340 $9,093.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $25.89 340 $8,800.90 $8,809.98 $-292.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:30am ET $25.94 339 $8,792.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $25.74 339 $8,724.17 $8,741.23 $-68.75
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:35am ET $26.25 333 $8,739.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $25.43 333 $8,469.85 $8,471.50 $-269.73
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $25.02 338 $8,458.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:30am ET $24.24 338 $8,191.77 $8,204.82 $-266.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $23.98 342 $8,199.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET $25.24 342 $8,632.08 $8,637.45 +$432.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET $25.30 341 $8,625.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $24.53 341 $8,364.73 $8,376.59 $-260.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $24.53 341 $8,364.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $25.98 341 $8,859.18 $8,871.01 +$494.42
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.97 328 $8,846.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $28.33 328 $9,290.60 $9,315.42 +$444.41
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET $27.78 335 $9,307.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $27.65 335 $9,262.75 $9,270.19 $-45.23
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,270.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-729.81
Total Return: -7.30%
Back to Marcus Reversal