SOXL Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 45 trades in period
+20.00%
Year to Date Return
$55,644.10
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$46,370.28
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
22.1/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
69.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 69.2
30-Day Momentum
91
+50.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 98.1
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,144
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$46,370.28
Current Value
$55,644.10
Period P&L
$9,273.86
Max Drawdown
-36.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
20 /
25
Best Trade
+10.03%
Worst Trade
-10.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$4,653,843.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$9,273.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$9,273.86
Gross Return
+20.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.00%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $46,370.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:45am ET | $43.17 | 1,044 | $45,065.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 1,044 | $49,585.93 | $49,623.45 |
+$4,520.10 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $49.51 | 1,002 | $49,609.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 1,002 | $53,596.98 | $53,610.90 |
+$3,987.46 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $51.60 | 1,039 | $53,607.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.42 | 1,039 | $51,342.19 | $51,345.88 |
$-2,265.02 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $53.86 | 953 | $51,328.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.58 | 953 | $53,915.98 | $53,933.28 |
+$2,587.40 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $54.86 | 983 | $53,927.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.78 | 983 | $58,761.77 | $58,767.67 |
+$4,834.39 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $60.62 | 969 | $58,740.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.43 | 969 | $55,644.83 | $55,671.72 |
$-3,095.96 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $63.49 | 876 | $55,617.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $61.56 | 876 | $53,926.56 | $53,981.04 |
$-1,690.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $60.72 | 889 | $53,980.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.50 | 889 | $58,229.50 | $58,230.46 |
+$4,249.42 (+7.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $70.95 | 820 | $58,179.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.16 | 820 | $55,894.23 | $55,945.69 |
$-2,284.77 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $60.99 | 917 | $55,927.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $64.36 | 917 | $59,017.94 | $59,035.80 |
+$3,090.11 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $61.26 | 963 | $58,993.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $59.28 | 963 | $57,086.64 | $57,129.06 |
$-1,906.74 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $49.94 | 1,144 | $57,125.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $52.86 | 1,144 | $60,471.84 | $60,475.26 |
+$3,346.20 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $52.73 | 1,146 | $60,428.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.49 | 1,146 | $65,889.27 | $65,935.95 |
+$5,460.69 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $64.29 | 1,025 | $65,897.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $64.17 | 1,025 | $65,771.79 | $65,810.49 |
$-125.46 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.71 | 1,066 | $65,777.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $64.88 | 1,066 | $69,162.08 | $69,194.61 |
+$3,384.12 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $67.57 | 1,023 | $69,129.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $65.43 | 1,023 | $66,934.89 | $67,000.28 |
$-2,194.33 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $66.06 | 1,014 | $66,984.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $63.95 | 1,014 | $64,845.30 | $64,860.74 |
$-2,139.54 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $69.23 | 936 | $64,799.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $67.14 | 936 | $62,843.04 | $62,904.50 |
$-1,956.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $61.67 | 1,020 | $62,903.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.17 | 1,020 | $59,333.40 | $59,334.50 |
$-3,570.00 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.90 | 1,080 | $59,292.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.15 | 1,080 | $57,407.40 | $57,449.90 |
$-1,884.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $56.33 | 1,019 | $57,405.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $54.31 | 1,019 | $55,341.89 | $55,386.43 |
$-2,063.47 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $51.79 | 1,069 | $55,363.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.02 | 1,069 | $53,471.38 | $53,494.30 |
$-1,892.13 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $55.60 | 962 | $53,487.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.85 | 962 | $51,803.70 | $51,810.80 |
$-1,683.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.35 | 971 | $51,802.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.88 | 971 | $49,404.38 | $49,412.43 |
$-2,398.37 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $51.61 | 957 | $49,394.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.86 | 957 | $52,501.02 | $52,518.66 |
+$3,106.23 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $54.25 | 968 | $52,515.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.06 | 968 | $47,490.08 | $47,493.39 |
$-5,025.27 (-9.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $53.73 | 883 | $47,443.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $51.66 | 883 | $45,615.78 | $45,665.58 |
$-1,827.81 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $55.61 | 821 | $45,655.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $53.59 | 821 | $43,997.39 | $44,007.90 |
$-1,657.68 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $54.86 | 802 | $43,995.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:20am ET | $57.65 | 802 | $46,235.30 | $46,247.73 |
+$2,239.83 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.06 | 871 | $46,215.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $51.07 | 871 | $44,483.71 | $44,516.18 |
$-1,731.55 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $47.35 | 940 | $44,509.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $45.41 | 940 | $42,685.40 | $42,692.58 |
$-1,823.60 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $52.86 | 807 | $42,658.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.12 | 807 | $38,025.84 | $38,060.40 |
$-4,632.18 (-10.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.88 | 706 | $38,039.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $52.25 | 706 | $36,888.50 | $36,909.69 |
$-1,150.71 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $66.36 | 556 | $36,896.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $70.07 | 556 | $38,958.86 | $38,972.39 |
+$2,062.70 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $76.45 | 509 | $38,913.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $80.39 | 509 | $40,918.51 | $40,977.85 |
+$2,005.46 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $83.84 | 488 | $40,913.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $79.91 | 488 | $38,996.08 | $39,060.01 |
$-1,917.84 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $86.68 | 450 | $39,003.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.75 | 450 | $41,737.50 | $41,793.71 |
+$2,733.70 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $92.64 | 451 | $41,780.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.35 | 451 | $44,353.60 | $44,366.67 |
+$2,572.96 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $103.86 | 427 | $44,348.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $110.87 | 427 | $47,341.49 | $47,359.94 |
+$2,993.27 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $127.50 | 371 | $47,302.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $122.00 | 371 | $45,263.11 | $45,320.55 |
$-2,039.39 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $113.45 | 399 | $45,266.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $109.76 | 399 | $43,794.24 | $43,848.24 |
$-1,472.31 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $115.15 | 380 | $43,757.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.85 | 380 | $46,303.00 | $46,394.24 |
+$2,546.00 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $126.51 | 366 | $46,302.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $133.07 | 366 | $48,704.39 | $48,795.97 |
+$2,401.73 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $144.53 | 337 | $48,707.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.00 | 337 | $52,572.00 | $52,660.18 |
+$3,864.21 (+7.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $153.98 | 342 | $52,659.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $162.70 | 342 | $55,643.37 | $55,644.10 |
+$2,983.92 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$55,644.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$45,644.10
Total Return:
+456.44%