Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 27.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,479
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,045.50
Current Value
$13,647.55
Period P&L
$602.04
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+9.28%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
15.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$395,583.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$602.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$602.04
Gross Return
+4.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,045.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $346.67 37 $12,826.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $338.61 37 $12,528.57 $12,587.08 $-298.22
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $333.92 37 $12,355.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.77 37 $11,942.31 $12,174.34 $-412.74
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET $326.00 37 $12,062.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $325.30 37 $12,036.10 $12,148.44 $-25.90
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
19.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $317.04 38 $12,047.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $306.36 38 $11,641.68 $11,742.60 $-405.84
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $311.72 37 $11,533.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET $302.08 37 $11,176.96 $11,385.92 $-356.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET $298.83 38 $11,355.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $314.08 38 $11,935.04 $11,965.42 +$579.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
27.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $316.71 37 $11,718.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $306.92 37 $11,355.86 $11,602.82 $-362.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:40am ET $306.29 37 $11,332.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $334.72 37 $12,384.64 $12,654.73 +$1,051.91
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $331.33 38 $12,590.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:05am ET $321.11 38 $12,201.99 $12,265.99 $-388.74
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:20am ET $319.26 38 $12,131.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:40am ET $309.67 38 $11,767.43 $11,901.73 $-364.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
28d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:15am ET $321.76 36 $11,583.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:15am ET $338.17 36 $12,174.12 $12,492.67 +$590.94
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $337.84 36 $12,162.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $354.99 36 $12,779.57 $13,110.00 +$617.33
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $351.27 37 $12,996.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $368.89 37 $13,648.93 $13,761.94 +$651.94
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $369.89 37 $13,685.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:35am ET $358.60 37 $13,268.02 $13,344.21 $-417.73
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:50am ET $359.24 37 $13,291.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $378.72 37 $14,012.64 $14,064.97 +$720.76
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:45am ET $381.57 36 $13,736.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $369.97 36 $13,318.92 $13,647.55 $-417.42
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,647.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,647.55
Total Return: +36.48%
Back to Marcus Reversal