Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:29:58

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 25.0/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,200
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
125 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,086.72
Current Value
$12,178.62
Period P&L
$1,091.89
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+6.72%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
11.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$329,416.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,091.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,091.89
Gross Return
+9.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 125 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,086.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $40.56 272 $11,032.32
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $40.43 272 $10,995.60 $11,014.65 $-36.72
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $40.35 273 $11,014.19
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET $39.11 273 $10,678.26 $10,678.73 $-335.93
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $39.65 269 $10,664.51
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $42.31 269 $11,381.39 $11,395.61 +$716.89
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $44.06 258 $11,368.77
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $46.28 258 $11,940.24 $11,967.08 +$571.47
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $47.15 253 $11,928.95
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $46.91 253 $11,867.60 $11,905.73 $-61.35
(-0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $48.90 243 $11,881.49
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $51.35 243 $12,478.05 $12,502.29 +$596.56
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
24d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET $50.83 245 $12,453.35
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET $49.23 245 $12,061.35 $12,110.29 $-392.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $50.26 240 $12,062.40
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $48.74 240 $11,698.80 $11,746.69 $-363.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $47.37 248 $11,746.52
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $45.78 248 $11,353.44 $11,353.61 $-393.08
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $44.67 254 $11,346.18
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $46.92 254 $11,916.41 $11,923.84 +$570.23
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $46.60 255 $11,881.73
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $48.13 255 $12,274.42 $12,316.54 +$392.70
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
12 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:00am ET $48.01 256 $12,289.28
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:30am ET $46.56 256 $11,919.36 $11,946.62 $-369.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:30am ET $45.55 262 $11,934.10
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET $47.90 262 $12,549.80 $12,562.32 +$615.70
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $48.05 261 $12,541.05
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:30pm ET $46.58 261 $12,157.35 $12,178.62 $-383.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,178.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,178.62
Total Return: +21.79%
Back to Marcus Reversal