Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,696.71
Current Value
$12,919.24
Period P&L
$2,222.53
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
14 / 15
Best Trade
+8.20%
Worst Trade
-5.55%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$751,196.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,222.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,222.53
Gross Return
+20.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,696.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:10am ET $120.78 88 $10,628.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET $126.94 88 $11,170.72 $11,253.75 +$542.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $129.87 86 $11,168.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET $136.47 86 $11,736.33 $11,821.26 +$567.51
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $139.48 84 $11,716.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET $146.46 84 $12,302.64 $12,407.58 +$586.32
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $148.84 83 $12,353.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.38 83 $12,564.54 $12,618.40 +$210.82
(+1.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $147.26 85 $12,517.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $159.34 85 $13,543.90 $13,645.20 +$1,026.80
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET $151.84 89 $13,513.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:30am ET $159.63 89 $14,207.51 $14,338.95 +$693.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:00pm ET $158.63 90 $14,276.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:30am ET $166.69 90 $15,002.10 $15,064.35 +$725.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $163.68 92 $15,058.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $172.85 92 $15,902.20 $15,907.68 +$843.33
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $171.55 92 $15,782.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $166.39 92 $15,307.88 $15,432.96 $-474.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $160.23 96 $15,382.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $152.67 96 $14,656.32 $14,707.19 $-725.77
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET $157.46 93 $14,643.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $152.64 93 $14,195.52 $14,258.93 $-448.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $152.25 93 $14,159.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 93 $13,728.66 $13,828.34 $-430.59
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $147.26 93 $13,695.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET $142.74 93 $13,274.90 $13,408.06 $-420.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $148.76 90 $13,388.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $144.29 90 $12,986.10 $13,006.02 $-402.04
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
15 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $149.74 86 $12,877.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $157.24 86 $13,523.07 $13,651.88 +$645.86
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
16 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:40am ET $160.62 84 $13,492.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $155.71 84 $13,079.64 $13,239.44 $-412.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $153.28 86 $13,182.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.19 86 $12,658.34 $12,715.70 $-523.74
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $147.70 86 $12,702.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $139.51 86 $11,997.43 $12,010.93 $-704.77
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $140.82 85 $11,969.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $136.55 85 $11,606.96 $11,648.19 $-362.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $140.03 83 $11,622.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:30am ET $135.64 83 $11,258.24 $11,283.94 $-364.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $136.96 82 $11,230.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $143.85 82 $11,796.11 $11,849.33 +$565.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $144.38 82 $11,838.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $153.47 82 $12,584.54 $12,595.12 +$745.79
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $157.54 79 $12,446.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $152.28 79 $12,030.16 $12,179.22 $-415.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $156.71 77 $12,066.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $151.66 77 $11,677.82 $11,790.37 $-388.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $153.01 77 $11,781.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET $160.80 77 $12,381.60 $12,390.20 +$599.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $159.63 77 $12,291.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $167.75 77 $12,916.75 $13,015.44 +$625.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $167.43 77 $12,892.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $162.34 77 $12,499.80 $12,623.15 $-392.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $158.16 79 $12,495.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $167.06 79 $13,197.74 $13,325.86 +$702.71
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET $164.46 81 $13,321.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:10am ET $159.44 81 $12,914.64 $12,919.24 $-406.62
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,919.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,919.24
Total Return: +29.19%
Back to Marcus Reversal