Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:38:26

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 28.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.0

30-Day Momentum

17
-5.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,544
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,120.51
Current Value
$11,338.61
Period P&L
$-781.89
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+1.10%
Worst Trade
-6.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
12.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$255,077.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-781.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-781.89
Gross Return
-6.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,120.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $308.71 39 $12,039.83
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $309.40 39 $12,066.60 $12,066.68 +$26.77
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $310.22 38 $11,788.36
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $310.68 38 $11,805.84 $12,084.16 +$17.48
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:00am ET $311.42 38 $11,833.96
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $311.49 38 $11,836.62 $12,086.82 +$2.66
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $306.30 39 $11,945.51
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $309.65 39 $12,076.52 $12,217.83 +$131.01
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:35am ET $313.36 38 $11,907.49
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $309.60 38 $11,764.70 $12,075.04 $-142.79
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $312.12 38 $11,860.52
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $311.84 38 $11,849.92 $12,064.44 $-10.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $309.14 39 $12,056.46
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $290.01 39 $11,310.39 $11,318.37 $-746.07
(-6.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
23.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $293.49 38 $11,152.62
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET $292.23 38 $11,104.74 $11,270.49 $-47.88
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $295.98 38 $11,247.43
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $296.21 38 $11,255.98 $11,279.04 +$8.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:05am ET $297.47 37 $11,006.39
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $298.59 37 $11,047.83 $11,320.48 +$41.44
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $298.67 37 $11,050.79
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $299.16 37 $11,068.92 $11,338.61 +$18.13
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,338.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,338.61
Total Return: +13.39%
Back to Professor Mean