Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:11:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.6/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 28.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.7%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,442.77
Current Value
$11,390.37
Period P&L
$-52.38
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+0.84%
Worst Trade
-0.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$293,509.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-52.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-52.38
Gross Return
-0.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,442.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $311.09 36 $11,199.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $311.26 36 $11,205.36 $11,448.87 +$6.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $310.54 36 $11,179.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:40am ET $313.15 36 $11,273.58 $11,543.01 +$94.14
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $319.74 36 $11,510.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $319.83 36 $11,513.88 $11,546.07 +$3.06
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $324.55 35 $11,359.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET $323.96 35 $11,338.77 $11,525.77 $-20.30
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:00pm ET $328.94 35 $11,512.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $327.20 35 $11,452.00 $11,464.87 $-60.90
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $317.15 36 $11,417.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:05am ET $316.39 36 $11,390.22 $11,437.69 $-27.18
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $311.48 36 $11,213.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $313.09 36 $11,271.24 $11,495.65 +$57.96
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $333.49 34 $11,338.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $332.98 34 $11,321.25 $11,478.07 $-17.58
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $333.30 34 $11,332.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $330.13 34 $11,224.42 $11,370.29 $-107.78
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:30am ET $332.72 34 $11,312.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $332.92 34 $11,319.28 $11,377.17 +$6.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET $335.28 33 $11,064.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET $334.96 33 $11,053.68 $11,366.61 $-10.56
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $341.44 33 $11,267.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $341.18 33 $11,258.94 $11,358.03 $-8.58
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET $335.56 33 $11,073.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:55am ET $336.54 33 $11,105.82 $11,390.37 +$32.34
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,390.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,390.37
Total Return: +13.90%
Back to Professor Mean