Compendium › Professor Mean › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

+4.49%
Last Month Return
$9,981.15
Current Value
77%
Win Rate
$9,552.45
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:39:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 14.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 14.6

30-Day Momentum

54
+3.9%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
5.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.8 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,552.45
Current Value
$9,981.15
Period P&L
$428.70
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+2.06%
Worst Trade
-0.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$250,796.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$428.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$428.70
Gross Return
+4.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,552.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $265.60 35 $9,296.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $266.12 35 $9,314.32 $9,570.76 +$18.31
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $259.60 36 $9,345.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:05am ET $258.89 36 $9,320.04 $9,545.20 $-25.56
(-0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $255.83 37 $9,465.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:15pm ET $255.85 37 $9,466.52 $9,546.01 +$0.81
(+0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $256.40 37 $9,486.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $261.67 37 $9,681.79 $9,741.00 +$194.99
(+2.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $259.17 37 $9,589.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $260.26 37 $9,629.62 $9,781.33 +$40.33
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $256.73 38 $9,755.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $256.32 38 $9,740.16 $9,765.56 $-15.77
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $249.56 39 $9,732.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET $250.85 39 $9,783.15 $9,815.87 +$50.31
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $256.91 38 $9,762.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $257.39 38 $9,780.63 $9,834.11 +$18.24
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $258.69 38 $9,830.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $258.27 38 $9,814.26 $9,818.15 $-15.96
(-0.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $262.19 37 $9,701.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.50 37 $9,712.50 $9,829.64 +$11.49
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $263.86 37 $9,762.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $264.92 37 $9,802.04 $9,868.86 +$39.22
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $262.54 37 $9,713.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:35am ET $264.12 37 $9,772.44 $9,927.32 +$58.46
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:30am ET $263.28 37 $9,741.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $264.73 37 $9,795.19 $9,981.15 +$53.83
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,981.15
Net Profit/Loss: $-18.85
Total Return: -0.19%
Back to Professor Mean