Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:18:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
6.4/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 20.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 20.6

30-Day Momentum

76
+10.3%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.3 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+56 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,512.32
Current Value
$10,531.86
Period P&L
$1,019.59
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
11 / 3
Best Trade
+5.97%
Worst Trade
-2.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$274,142.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,019.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,019.59
Gross Return
+10.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,512.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $184.05 51 $9,386.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:25am ET $185.64 51 $9,467.64 $9,593.36 +$81.09
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $181.23 52 $9,423.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $181.88 52 $9,457.50 $9,626.90 +$33.54
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $186.93 51 $9,533.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $189.65 51 $9,672.40 $9,765.84 +$138.94
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:40am ET $188.40 51 $9,608.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $187.99 51 $9,587.74 $9,745.44 $-20.40
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $188.20 51 $9,597.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET $189.90 51 $9,684.90 $9,832.39 +$86.95
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:30am ET $186.08 52 $9,676.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:55am ET $186.63 52 $9,704.76 $9,860.99 +$28.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $194.25 50 $9,712.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $190.20 50 $9,510.00 $9,658.49 $-202.50
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 54 $9,612.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:00am ET $179.44 54 $9,689.76 $9,736.25 +$77.76
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $176.20 55 $9,691.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $177.63 55 $9,769.65 $9,814.90 +$78.65
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET $193.02 50 $9,651.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $194.45 50 $9,722.50 $9,886.40 +$71.50
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $189.51 52 $9,854.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $190.35 52 $9,898.20 $9,930.08 +$43.68
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $181.90 54 $9,822.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $192.76 54 $10,409.26 $10,516.47 +$586.39
(+6.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $184.41 57 $10,511.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:15am ET $183.91 57 $10,482.87 $10,487.97 $-28.50
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $183.86 57 $10,480.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $184.63 57 $10,523.91 $10,531.86 +$43.89
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,531.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$531.86
Total Return: +5.32%
Back to Professor Mean