Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:38:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 10.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

16
-2.3%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,544
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,329.05
Current Value
$8,134.32
Period P&L
$-194.70
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-7.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$196,129.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-194.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-194.70
Gross Return
-2.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,329.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $241.40 34 $8,207.43
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:20am ET $243.38 34 $8,274.75 $8,396.34 +$67.32
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $237.51 35 $8,312.85
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $240.10 35 $8,403.33 $8,486.82 +$90.48
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $272.80 31 $8,456.65
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $274.04 31 $8,495.24 $8,525.41 +$38.59
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $256.34 33 $8,459.22
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $254.95 33 $8,413.35 $8,479.54 $-45.87
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:40am ET $261.50 32 $8,368.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $260.24 32 $8,327.68 $8,439.22 $-40.32
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $250.99 33 $8,282.67
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $251.75 33 $8,307.75 $8,464.30 +$25.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $245.70 34 $8,353.80
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $241.70 34 $8,217.80 $8,328.30 $-136.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $232.65 35 $8,142.58
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET $237.76 35 $8,321.60 $8,507.32 +$179.02
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.24 38 $8,331.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 38 $7,691.20 $7,867.40 $-639.92
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $207.74 37 $7,686.20
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $207.05 37 $7,660.85 $7,842.06 $-25.34
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $201.10 38 $7,641.61
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $205.97 38 $7,826.86 $8,027.31 +$185.25
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $193.16 41 $7,919.76
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $195.77 41 $8,026.77 $8,134.32 +$107.01
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,134.32
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,865.68
Total Return: -18.66%
Back to Professor Mean