Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.5/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
9.6/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 62.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 61.9

30-Day Momentum

36
+3.2%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.7 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$22,767.70
Current Value
$23,028.27
Period P&L
$260.67
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+3.33%
Worst Trade
-5.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
11h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$624,262.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$260.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$260.67
Gross Return
+1.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $22,767.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $2.71 8,401 $22,765.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $2.65 8,401 $22,304.65 $22,306.39 $-461.21
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $2.66 8,385 $22,304.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $2.68 8,385 $22,470.96 $22,473.25 +$166.86
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $2.71 8,285 $22,473.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $2.70 8,285 $22,368.67 $22,368.86 $-104.39
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:10pm ET $2.62 8,554 $22,368.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $2.63 8,554 $22,454.25 $22,454.40 +$85.54
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $2.56 8,771 $22,453.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $2.58 8,771 $22,618.65 $22,619.29 +$164.89
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $2.64 8,551 $22,617.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $2.69 8,551 $23,002.19 $23,004.09 +$384.80
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $2.63 8,746 $23,001.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $2.48 8,746 $21,733.81 $21,735.92 $-1,268.17
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $2.54 8,557 $21,734.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $2.51 8,557 $21,435.29 $21,436.43 $-299.49
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $2.40 8,931 $21,434.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $2.45 8,931 $21,925.60 $21,927.63 +$491.20
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $2.50 8,771 $21,927.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $2.49 8,771 $21,839.79 $21,839.92 $-87.71
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $2.64 8,257 $21,839.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $2.65 8,257 $21,922.33 $21,922.49 +$82.57
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $2.66 8,226 $21,922.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:45am ET $2.70 8,226 $22,210.20 $22,210.40 +$287.91
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $2.86 7,779 $22,209.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET $2.95 7,779 $22,948.05 $22,949.41 +$739.01
(+3.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $2.91 7,886 $22,948.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $2.92 7,886 $23,027.12 $23,028.27 +$78.86
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,028.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,028.27
Total Return: +130.28%
Back to Professor Mean