Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 36.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 35.3

30-Day Momentum

46
+1.8%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.6 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,877.33
Current Value
$12,141.99
Period P&L
$264.69
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
10 / 2
Best Trade
+0.65%
Worst Trade
-0.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$280,881.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$264.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$264.69
Gross Return
+2.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,877.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $443.24 26 $11,524.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:20am ET $441.56 26 $11,480.56 $11,833.62 $-43.68
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $438.82 26 $11,409.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $439.75 26 $11,433.50 $11,857.80 +$24.18
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $431.18 27 $11,641.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $431.88 27 $11,660.76 $11,876.70 +$18.90
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:55am ET $432.39 27 $11,674.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $432.43 27 $11,675.74 $11,877.78 +$1.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $439.00 27 $11,853.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $441.85 27 $11,929.82 $11,954.60 +$76.82
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET $437.52 27 $11,813.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:30am ET $438.03 27 $11,826.81 $11,968.37 +$13.77
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $392.78 30 $11,783.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $394.59 30 $11,837.70 $12,022.67 +$54.30
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $390.08 30 $11,702.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $391.01 30 $11,730.30 $12,050.42 +$27.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $381.55 31 $11,828.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET $380.32 31 $11,789.77 $12,011.98 $-38.44
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $377.26 31 $11,694.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $377.66 31 $11,707.46 $12,024.53 +$12.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $376.21 31 $11,662.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $378.32 31 $11,727.92 $12,089.94 +$65.41
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:30am ET $404.17 29 $11,720.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $405.96 29 $11,772.98 $12,141.99 +$52.05
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,141.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,141.99
Total Return: +21.42%
Back to Professor Mean