Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 16:01:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 27.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 26.7

30-Day Momentum

61
+6.7%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
4.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 67.7 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,499.72
Current Value
$11,422.47
Period P&L
$922.76
Max Drawdown
-16.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.83

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+2.50%
Worst Trade
-0.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
9.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,241.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$922.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$922.76
Gross Return
+8.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,499.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:45pm ET $76.80 135 $10,368.01
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $77.21 135 $10,423.35 $10,498.36 +$55.34
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $77.61 135 $10,478.02
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $78.01 135 $10,531.35 $10,551.69 +$53.33
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $80.40 131 $10,532.40
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:55am ET $80.85 131 $10,591.35 $10,610.64 +$58.95
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $80.59 131 $10,557.29
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET $80.00 131 $10,479.35 $10,532.70 $-77.94
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $78.02 135 $10,532.70
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $77.91 135 $10,517.85 $10,517.85 $-14.85
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $80.24 131 $10,511.44
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.01 131 $10,481.31 $10,487.72 $-30.13
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $75.69 138 $10,445.22
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $76.36 138 $10,538.37 $10,580.87 +$93.15
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $74.00 142 $10,508.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:40am ET $75.34 142 $10,698.28 $10,771.15 +$190.28
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $72.96 147 $10,725.85
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $74.21 147 $10,908.87 $10,954.17 +$183.02
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $75.17 145 $10,898.93
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $75.39 145 $10,931.55 $10,986.79 +$32.62
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $79.89 137 $10,944.25
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $81.04 137 $11,101.80 $11,144.34 +$157.55
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $76.22 146 $11,128.85
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:10am ET $78.13 146 $11,406.98 $11,422.47 +$278.13
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,422.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,422.47
Total Return: +14.22%
Back to Professor Mean