Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 27.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.2

30-Day Momentum

19
+0.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.8 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,769.31
Current Value
$11,778.83
Period P&L
$9.53
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+1.54%
Worst Trade
-2.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$274,039.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$9.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$9.53
Gross Return
+0.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,769.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $241.36 48 $11,585.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $242.41 48 $11,635.68 $11,819.70 +$50.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $247.50 47 $11,632.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $241.96 47 $11,371.89 $11,559.09 $-260.61
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 49 $11,515.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $231.30 49 $11,333.70 $11,377.79 $-181.30
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $232.81 48 $11,174.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET $231.93 48 $11,132.64 $11,335.55 $-42.24
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $250.86 45 $11,288.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $251.66 45 $11,324.70 $11,371.55 +$36.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $263.67 43 $11,338.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $264.82 43 $11,387.26 $11,420.79 +$49.24
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $253.07 45 $11,388.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $256.95 45 $11,562.97 $11,595.61 +$174.82
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $242.38 47 $11,391.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $241.50 47 $11,350.50 $11,554.25 $-41.36
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $241.74 47 $11,361.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $243.63 47 $11,450.61 $11,643.32 +$89.07
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $243.20 47 $11,430.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $243.51 47 $11,444.97 $11,657.89 +$14.57
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $318.37 36 $11,461.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $319.79 36 $11,512.44 $11,709.01 +$51.12
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $327.07 35 $11,447.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $329.06 35 $11,517.10 $11,778.83 +$69.82
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,778.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,778.83
Total Return: +17.79%
Back to Professor Mean