Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 28.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-2.2%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,501.11
Current Value
$11,244.80
Period P&L
$-256.21
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+0.83%
Worst Trade
-1.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$318,211.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-256.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-256.21
Gross Return
-2.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,501.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $334.52 34 $11,373.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $337.30 34 $11,468.20 $11,595.53 +$94.52
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:15am ET $335.27 34 $11,399.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $335.62 34 $11,411.08 $11,607.26 +$11.73
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $332.51 34 $11,305.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $332.49 34 $11,304.66 $11,606.75 $-0.51
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $331.00 35 $11,585.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:00am ET $331.72 35 $11,610.20 $11,631.95 +$25.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $325.03 35 $11,376.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $325.36 35 $11,387.60 $11,643.50 +$11.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $327.96 35 $11,478.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $327.76 35 $11,471.60 $11,636.33 $-7.17
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $324.54 35 $11,358.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET $326.80 35 $11,438.00 $11,715.60 +$79.27
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $322.24 36 $11,600.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $320.43 36 $11,535.48 $11,650.26 $-65.34
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $324.69 35 $11,364.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $324.39 35 $11,353.65 $11,639.76 $-10.50
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $324.60 35 $11,361.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $322.89 35 $11,301.08 $11,579.84 $-59.92
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $315.78 36 $11,368.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $313.53 36 $11,287.08 $11,498.84 $-81.00
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $311.68 36 $11,220.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $309.90 36 $11,156.58 $11,434.94 $-63.90
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $312.46 36 $11,248.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $307.61 36 $11,073.96 $11,260.34 $-174.60
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $302.54 37 $11,193.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $302.12 37 $11,178.44 $11,244.80 $-15.54
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,244.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,244.80
Total Return: +12.45%
Back to Professor Mean