Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 08:37:41

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
5.1/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 18.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.2

30-Day Momentum

17
-2.2%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,545.48
Current Value
$10,311.78
Period P&L
$-233.65
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+0.49%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
12.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$269,373.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-233.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-233.65
Gross Return
-2.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,545.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $52.67 200 $10,535.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $52.73 200 $10,546.00 $10,556.43 +$11.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $52.62 200 $10,523.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.19 200 $10,438.00 $10,471.43 $-85.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $53.31 196 $10,448.76
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.42 196 $10,469.34 $10,492.01 +$20.58
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $54.04 194 $10,483.27
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET $54.30 194 $10,534.20 $10,542.94 +$50.93
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $54.22 194 $10,518.68
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $53.50 194 $10,379.00 $10,403.26 $-139.68
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $53.95 192 $10,358.40
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $53.55 192 $10,281.60 $10,326.46 $-76.80
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $52.88 195 $10,311.60
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $53.08 195 $10,349.63 $10,364.48 +$38.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $52.79 196 $10,346.84
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $52.46 196 $10,282.16 $10,299.80 $-64.68
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $53.45 192 $10,262.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $53.58 192 $10,287.36 $10,324.76 +$24.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $52.69 195 $10,274.53
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $52.35 195 $10,207.28 $10,257.50 $-67.26
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.11 193 $10,250.23
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.20 193 $10,267.60 $10,274.87 +$17.37
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.62 191 $10,240.47
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $53.65 191 $10,247.15 $10,281.55 +$6.68
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $52.56 195 $10,250.17
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.72 195 $10,280.40 $10,311.78 +$30.23
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,311.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$311.78
Total Return: +3.12%
Back to Professor Mean