Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:17:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 14.9

30-Day Momentum

52
+4.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.2 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,764
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,194.12
Current Value
$9,567.04
Period P&L
$372.94
Max Drawdown
-26.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-1.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
16.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$221,910.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$372.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$372.94
Gross Return
+4.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,194.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $221.32 41 $9,074.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $219.06 41 $8,981.46 $9,101.44 $-92.66
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.90 41 $8,933.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:35am ET $220.16 41 $9,026.56 $9,194.30 +$92.86
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $215.73 42 $9,060.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $218.04 42 $9,157.68 $9,291.32 +$97.02
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET $216.33 42 $9,085.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:35am ET $217.46 42 $9,133.53 $9,338.99 +$47.67
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $223.95 41 $9,181.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $224.62 41 $9,209.42 $9,366.46 +$27.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $214.76 43 $9,234.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $213.93 43 $9,198.99 $9,330.77 $-35.69
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $211.37 44 $9,300.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $211.41 44 $9,302.04 $9,332.53 +$1.76
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $217.02 43 $9,331.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $221.38 43 $9,519.13 $9,519.79 +$187.26
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $215.49 44 $9,481.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $215.17 44 $9,467.48 $9,505.71 $-14.08
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $216.46 43 $9,307.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $217.13 43 $9,336.38 $9,534.30 +$28.59
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $217.07 43 $9,334.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $217.05 43 $9,333.15 $9,533.23 $-1.07
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $224.81 42 $9,442.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $225.62 42 $9,475.83 $9,567.04 +$33.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,567.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-432.96
Total Return: -4.33%
Back to Professor Mean