Compendium › Professor Mean › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 15 trades in period

+2.60%
Last Month Return
$15,772.54
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$15,373.01
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:33

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.0/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
9.7/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 54.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.1

30-Day Momentum

42
+2.1%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.9 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,373.01
Current Value
$15,772.54
Period P&L
$399.49
Max Drawdown
-10.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-0.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
53m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$468,009.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$399.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$399.49
Gross Return
+2.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,373.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $67.57 227 $15,337.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $67.79 227 $15,387.20 $15,422.99 +$49.94
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $66.60 231 $15,384.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:35am ET $67.43 231 $15,577.48 $15,615.97 +$192.98
(+1.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.96 236 $15,566.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $66.43 236 $15,678.66 $15,728.07 +$112.10
(+0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:40am ET $66.86 235 $15,713.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $66.90 235 $15,721.50 $15,736.30 +$8.23
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $67.12 234 $15,706.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $66.86 234 $15,645.24 $15,675.46 $-60.84
(-0.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET $67.24 233 $15,665.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:10am ET $67.01 233 $15,613.33 $15,623.04 $-52.42
(-0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $64.89 240 $15,573.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $64.86 240 $15,566.40 $15,615.84 $-7.20
(-0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $64.06 243 $15,566.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:15am ET $64.08 243 $15,571.37 $15,620.63 +$4.79
(+0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $64.04 243 $15,560.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $64.01 243 $15,555.64 $15,615.77 $-4.86
(-0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $63.65 245 $15,594.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $63.76 245 $15,619.98 $15,641.49 +$25.72
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $63.17 247 $15,604.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $63.16 247 $15,600.52 $15,637.79 $-3.70
(-0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $62.52 250 $15,630.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $62.76 250 $15,690.00 $15,697.79 +$60.00
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $62.38 251 $15,657.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $62.17 251 $15,604.67 $15,645.08 $-52.71
(-0.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $62.10 251 $15,587.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $62.32 251 $15,642.32 $15,700.30 +$55.22
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $60.69 258 $15,658.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $60.97 258 $15,730.26 $15,772.54 +$72.24
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,772.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,772.54
Total Return: +57.73%
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