Compendium › Professor Mean › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 13 trades in period

-3.51%
Last Month Return
$12,527.49
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$12,982.89
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 42.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 42.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.0%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,982.89
Current Value
$12,527.49
Period P&L
$-455.41
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+0.81%
Worst Trade
-1.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,858.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-455.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-455.41
Gross Return
-3.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,982.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $131.69 98 $12,905.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $131.96 98 $12,932.08 $13,009.36 +$26.46
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET $132.55 98 $12,990.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $133.16 98 $13,049.68 $13,068.65 +$59.29
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $132.99 98 $13,032.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $132.59 98 $12,993.82 $13,029.48 $-39.17
(-0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $132.20 98 $12,955.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $132.02 98 $12,938.45 $13,012.82 $-16.66
(-0.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $132.81 97 $12,882.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $132.42 97 $12,844.74 $12,974.99 $-37.83
(-0.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $137.29 94 $12,905.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:30am ET $136.02 94 $12,785.88 $12,855.61 $-119.38
(-0.9%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $137.19 93 $12,758.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $135.77 93 $12,627.07 $12,724.01 $-131.60
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $137.51 92 $12,650.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $137.72 92 $12,670.24 $12,743.33 +$19.32
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $136.54 93 $12,698.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:45am ET $135.15 93 $12,568.95 $12,613.67 $-129.66
(-1.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $134.66 93 $12,523.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:40am ET $135.75 93 $12,624.75 $12,714.58 +$100.91
(+0.8%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $132.72 95 $12,608.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $133.23 95 $12,656.85 $12,763.03 +$48.45
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.01 94 $12,690.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $133.53 94 $12,551.82 $12,623.91 $-139.12
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $132.15 95 $12,553.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $131.13 95 $12,457.35 $12,527.49 $-96.42
(-0.8%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,527.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,527.49
Total Return: +25.27%
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