Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 14.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 14.7

30-Day Momentum

39
+1.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.6 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,165.76
Current Value
$9,362.79
Period P&L
$196.98
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
11 / 4
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-0.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$278,337.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$196.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$196.98
Gross Return
+2.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,165.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $26.95 341 $9,191.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $26.95 341 $9,191.65 $9,206.73 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $27.00 340 $9,181.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $27.07 340 $9,203.80 $9,228.83 +$22.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $26.50 348 $9,223.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $26.62 348 $9,263.76 $9,268.85 +$40.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $26.78 346 $9,265.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:55am ET $26.80 346 $9,272.80 $9,275.77 +$6.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:55am ET $26.50 349 $9,250.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:40am ET $26.58 349 $9,278.16 $9,303.69 +$27.92
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $27.03 344 $9,298.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $27.08 344 $9,313.80 $9,319.17 +$15.48
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:00am ET $26.47 352 $9,315.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET $26.48 352 $9,319.20 $9,322.69 +$3.52
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.07 357 $9,305.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $26.14 357 $9,330.20 $9,347.68 +$24.99
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $25.15 371 $9,330.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $25.17 371 $9,339.92 $9,356.95 +$9.27
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $24.88 376 $9,353.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $24.65 376 $9,268.40 $9,272.35 $-84.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $24.27 382 $9,271.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:25am ET $24.19 382 $9,242.49 $9,243.70 $-28.65
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $23.20 398 $9,235.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.19 398 $9,231.61 $9,239.72 $-3.98
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $22.55 409 $9,220.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:05am ET $22.83 409 $9,335.79 $9,354.61 +$114.89
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET $22.73 411 $9,342.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $22.64 411 $9,302.99 $9,315.57 $-39.04
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.64 411 $9,305.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $22.75 411 $9,352.30 $9,362.79 +$47.22
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,362.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-637.21
Total Return: -6.37%
Back to Professor Mean