Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
6.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 19.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

17
-1.2%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,584.59
Current Value
$10,611.57
Period P&L
$27.02
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+1.79%
Worst Trade
-2.94%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
8.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$294,086.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$27.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$27.02
Gross Return
+0.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,584.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $132.39 79 $10,458.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.85 79 $10,416.15 $10,541.89 $-42.66
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $130.20 80 $10,416.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $128.56 80 $10,284.80 $10,410.69 $-131.20
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $130.13 80 $10,410.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $130.29 80 $10,423.20 $10,423.89 +$13.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $134.31 77 $10,341.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $135.38 77 $10,424.64 $10,506.66 +$82.77
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $136.72 76 $10,390.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:30am ET $137.00 76 $10,412.00 $10,527.94 +$21.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $134.50 78 $10,491.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $136.91 78 $10,678.98 $10,715.92 +$187.98
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $136.51 78 $10,648.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $136.79 78 $10,669.62 $10,737.37 +$21.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $137.18 78 $10,699.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $137.37 78 $10,714.86 $10,752.54 +$15.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:05am ET $137.90 77 $10,618.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:30am ET $138.89 77 $10,694.53 $10,828.39 +$75.85
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $138.73 78 $10,820.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $134.65 78 $10,502.70 $10,510.15 $-318.24
(-2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $132.44 79 $10,462.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $133.12 79 $10,516.09 $10,563.48 +$53.33
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $129.17 81 $10,462.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:25am ET $128.02 81 $10,369.62 $10,470.33 $-93.15
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $125.65 83 $10,428.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $125.44 83 $10,411.52 $10,452.90 $-17.43
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $128.14 81 $10,379.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $130.10 81 $10,538.01 $10,611.57 +$158.67
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,611.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$611.57
Total Return: +6.12%
Back to Professor Mean