Compendium › Professor Mean › COST
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COST
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

-0.70%
Last Month Return
$10,146.88
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,218.61
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
3.3/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 17.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.3

30-Day Momentum

14
-0.7%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,218.61
Current Value
$10,146.88
Period P&L
$-71.74
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+0.60%
Worst Trade
-1.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$253,884.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-71.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-71.74
Gross Return
-0.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,218.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $965.14 10 $9,651.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $963.87 10 $9,638.70 $10,205.92 $-12.70
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $957.46 10 $9,574.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $958.04 10 $9,580.40 $10,211.72 +$5.80
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $934.22 10 $9,342.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $939.84 10 $9,398.40 $10,267.92 +$56.20
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:25pm ET $944.97 10 $9,449.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $943.30 10 $9,433.00 $10,251.27 $-16.65
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $932.70 10 $9,327.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:15am ET $935.17 10 $9,351.75 $10,276.02 +$24.75
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $927.21 11 $10,199.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $915.92 11 $10,075.17 $10,151.94 $-124.08
(-1.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $907.97 11 $9,987.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $902.99 11 $9,932.89 $10,097.21 $-54.73
(-0.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $900.31 11 $9,903.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $901.21 11 $9,913.31 $10,107.14 +$9.93
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $903.05 11 $9,933.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $904.07 11 $9,944.77 $10,118.36 +$11.22
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $911.86 11 $10,030.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $911.59 11 $10,027.49 $10,115.39 $-2.97
(-0.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $898.76 11 $9,886.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $900.26 11 $9,902.86 $10,131.89 +$16.50
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $891.07 11 $9,801.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:20am ET $893.50 11 $9,828.50 $10,158.62 +$26.73
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $899.19 11 $9,891.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $898.12 11 $9,879.35 $10,146.88 $-11.74
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,146.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$146.88
Total Return: +1.47%
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