Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:41:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.5/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 48.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 48.0

30-Day Momentum

80
+11.8%
30d Return
92%
Win Rate
12
Trades
9.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.9 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,927.23
Current Value
$15,571.01
Period P&L
$1,643.87
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.85

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
11 / 1
Best Trade
+3.39%
Worst Trade
-0.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.96%
Avg Hold Time
2.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$348,867.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,643.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,643.87
Gross Return
+11.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,927.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $650.64 21 $13,663.44
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $667.46 21 $14,016.56 $14,280.26 +$353.12
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $644.20 22 $14,172.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $645.17 22 $14,193.74 $14,301.60 +$21.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $672.10 21 $14,114.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 21 $14,592.27 $14,779.67 +$478.07
(+3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $764.85 19 $14,532.15
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $757.26 19 $14,387.94 $14,635.46 $-144.21
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET $748.91 19 $14,229.29
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $750.60 19 $14,261.35 $14,667.52 +$32.06
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $685.44 21 $14,394.14
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:00am ET $694.90 21 $14,592.90 $14,866.28 +$198.76
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $655.85 22 $14,428.70
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $657.60 22 $14,467.31 $14,904.89 +$38.61
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $638.20 23 $14,678.60
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:40am ET $647.03 23 $14,881.58 $15,107.87 +$202.98
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $687.00 21 $14,427.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $692.05 21 $14,533.15 $15,214.02 +$106.15
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $690.47 22 $15,190.30
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $691.77 22 $15,218.83 $15,242.55 +$28.53
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $676.04 22 $14,872.88
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $686.15 22 $15,095.30 $15,464.97 +$222.42
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $677.68 22 $14,908.96
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $682.50 22 $15,015.00 $15,571.01 +$106.04
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,571.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,571.01
Total Return: +55.71%
Back to Professor Mean