Compendium › Professor Mean › CVX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CVX
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-23 to present • 13 trades in period

+2.15%
Last Month Return
$10,837.98
Current Value
77%
Win Rate
$10,609.88
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:39:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.6

30-Day Momentum

43
+2.1%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.3 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,544
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,609.88
Current Value
$10,837.98
Period P&L
$228.06
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+0.91%
Worst Trade
-0.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
13.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$276,291.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$228.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$228.06
Gross Return
+2.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,609.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $188.91 56 $10,579.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:35am ET $187.42 56 $10,495.74 $10,526.42 $-83.50
(-0.8%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $182.46 57 $10,400.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $184.12 57 $10,494.84 $10,621.04 +$94.62
(+0.9%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $182.15 58 $10,564.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $182.36 58 $10,576.88 $10,633.22 +$12.18
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET $185.85 57 $10,593.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $186.83 57 $10,649.30 $10,689.07 +$55.85
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.63 56 $10,507.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $188.43 56 $10,552.08 $10,733.87 +$44.80
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $188.58 56 $10,560.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $189.16 56 $10,592.96 $10,766.35 +$32.48
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET $187.36 57 $10,679.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $187.53 57 $10,689.21 $10,776.04 +$9.69
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $188.01 57 $10,716.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:15am ET $186.76 57 $10,645.60 $10,705.08 $-70.96
(-0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $190.40 56 $10,662.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $191.39 56 $10,717.84 $10,760.51 +$55.43
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $186.89 57 $10,652.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $187.50 57 $10,687.50 $10,795.28 +$34.77
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.42 59 $10,644.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $179.64 59 $10,598.77 $10,749.27 $-46.01
(-0.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $179.15 60 $10,749.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:50am ET $179.43 60 $10,766.10 $10,766.37 +$17.10
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $172.93 62 $10,721.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $174.08 62 $10,792.96 $10,837.98 +$71.61
(+0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,837.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$837.98
Total Return: +8.38%
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