Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:41:33

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.7/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 37.1

30-Day Momentum

52
+2.9%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.1 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,469.38
Current Value
$11,723.60
Period P&L
$254.19
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
11 / 4
Best Trade
+1.21%
Worst Trade
-1.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
4.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$342,823.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$254.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$254.19
Gross Return
+2.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,469.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:50am ET $204.60 56 $11,457.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $202.55 56 $11,342.80 $11,354.61 $-114.80
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $200.87 56 $11,248.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $200.85 56 $11,247.60 $11,353.77 $-0.84
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $199.80 56 $11,189.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $200.42 56 $11,223.53 $11,388.30 +$34.53
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $201.23 56 $11,268.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $201.46 56 $11,281.76 $11,401.46 +$13.16
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:55am ET $208.31 54 $11,248.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $209.17 54 $11,295.19 $11,447.91 +$46.45
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $211.73 54 $11,433.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $212.37 54 $11,467.71 $11,482.20 +$34.29
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $208.44 55 $11,464.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:45am ET $209.17 55 $11,504.35 $11,522.35 +$40.15
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.33 54 $11,357.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $212.88 54 $11,495.25 $11,659.78 +$137.43
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:10am ET $212.21 54 $11,459.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:20am ET $212.65 54 $11,483.15 $11,683.59 +$23.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $214.32 54 $11,573.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $214.83 54 $11,600.82 $11,711.13 +$27.54
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $215.05 54 $11,612.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET $212.47 54 $11,473.38 $11,571.81 $-139.32
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $211.02 54 $11,395.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $211.84 54 $11,439.36 $11,616.09 +$44.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $205.13 56 $11,487.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $204.68 56 $11,462.36 $11,591.45 $-24.64
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $202.79 57 $11,559.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $204.46 57 $11,654.22 $11,686.64 +$95.19
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $205.90 56 $11,530.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $206.56 56 $11,567.36 $11,723.60 +$36.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,723.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,723.60
Total Return: +17.24%
Back to Professor Mean