Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 15:56:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

40
+2.9%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.6 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,309.64
Current Value
$9,589.98
Period P&L
$280.27
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+2.05%
Worst Trade
-0.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,983.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$280.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$280.27
Gross Return
+3.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,309.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:35am ET $102.63 90 $9,236.70
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:30am ET $102.85 90 $9,256.50 $9,329.51 +$19.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $103.43 90 $9,308.65
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $103.73 90 $9,335.70 $9,356.56 +$27.05
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $103.25 90 $9,292.18
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $103.12 90 $9,280.80 $9,345.18 $-11.38
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $101.79 91 $9,262.55
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET $100.79 91 $9,172.34 $9,254.97 $-90.21
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:10am ET $100.15 92 $9,214.26
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $99.84 92 $9,185.28 $9,225.99 $-28.98
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $99.96 92 $9,196.78
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $99.36 92 $9,140.66 $9,169.87 $-56.12
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:40am ET $98.60 93 $9,169.80
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:10am ET $99.34 93 $9,238.62 $9,238.69 +$68.82
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $99.31 93 $9,235.83
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $99.28 93 $9,233.04 $9,235.90 $-2.79
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $99.85 92 $9,186.20
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $101.90 92 $9,374.80 $9,424.50 +$188.60
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $101.43 92 $9,331.56
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $101.75 92 $9,361.46 $9,454.40 +$29.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $101.26 93 $9,417.18
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $101.78 93 $9,465.54 $9,502.76 +$48.36
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $103.28 92 $9,501.76
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET $104.12 92 $9,578.86 $9,579.86 +$77.10
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $103.24 92 $9,498.08
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $103.35 92 $9,508.20 $9,589.98 +$10.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,589.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-410.02
Total Return: -4.10%
Back to Professor Mean