Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:44:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 30.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.4

30-Day Momentum

16
-1.7%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,544
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,150.53
Current Value
$11,938.87
Period P&L
$-211.65
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+1.65%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$281,905.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-211.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-211.65
Gross Return
-1.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,150.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $24.84 489 $12,146.76
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $24.97 489 $12,207.89 $12,211.65 +$61.13
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:15pm ET $24.67 494 $12,186.98
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $23.79 494 $11,752.26 $11,776.93 $-434.72
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $25.89 454 $11,754.06
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET $25.54 454 $11,595.16 $11,618.03 $-158.90
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:50am ET $24.74 469 $11,600.72
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.91 469 $11,680.45 $11,697.76 +$79.73
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.34 461 $11,681.74
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $25.30 461 $11,661.00 $11,677.01 $-20.75
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.70 472 $11,658.40
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:00am ET $24.88 472 $11,743.36 $11,761.97 +$84.96
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.92 406 $11,741.52
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $29.11 406 $11,820.69 $11,841.14 +$79.17
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $29.62 399 $11,818.38
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:40am ET $29.01 399 $11,576.98 $11,599.74 $-241.40
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:45am ET $28.90 401 $11,586.90
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $28.59 401 $11,466.59 $11,479.44 $-120.30
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $28.49 402 $11,450.97
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $28.87 402 $11,605.74 $11,634.21 +$154.77
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $26.00 447 $11,624.23
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:20am ET $26.43 447 $11,816.44 $11,826.42 +$192.21
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $25.73 459 $11,807.78
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $25.97 459 $11,920.23 $11,938.87 +$112.45
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,938.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,938.87
Total Return: +19.39%
Back to Professor Mean