Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 26.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.3

30-Day Momentum

55
+4.1%
30d Return
91%
Win Rate
11
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.2 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,740.68
Current Value
$11,183.05
Period P&L
$442.39
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.96

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
11 / 1
Best Trade
+1.09%
Worst Trade
-0.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$261,336.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$442.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$442.39
Gross Return
+4.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,740.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $148.01 72 $10,656.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:05am ET $148.95 72 $10,724.40 $10,808.34 +$67.68
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $148.23 72 $10,672.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $148.43 72 $10,686.60 $10,822.38 +$14.04
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.65 75 $10,773.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:35am ET $144.52 75 $10,839.00 $10,887.63 +$65.25
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $148.93 73 $10,871.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $149.45 73 $10,909.85 $10,925.59 +$37.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $149.91 72 $10,793.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $150.18 72 $10,812.60 $10,944.67 +$19.08
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $150.38 72 $10,827.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $150.56 72 $10,840.32 $10,957.99 +$13.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $145.92 75 $10,944.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $146.99 75 $11,024.25 $11,038.24 +$80.25
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $144.78 76 $11,003.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:35am ET $144.35 76 $10,970.60 $11,005.64 $-32.60
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.37 75 $10,902.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $145.63 75 $10,922.25 $11,025.14 +$19.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $145.57 75 $10,917.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $146.01 75 $10,950.75 $11,058.14 +$33.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $149.62 73 $10,922.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $151.26 73 $11,041.62 $11,177.50 +$119.36
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:35am ET $150.84 74 $11,161.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $150.91 74 $11,167.34 $11,183.05 +$5.55
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,183.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,183.05
Total Return: +11.83%
Back to Professor Mean