Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:38:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 28.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.4

30-Day Momentum

25
+1.3%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.6 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,544
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,121.61
Current Value
$11,288.99
Period P&L
$167.36
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+2.05%
Worst Trade
-2.95%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
23.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$268,622.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$167.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$167.36
Gross Return
+1.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,121.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $384.71 28 $10,771.88
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $384.62 28 $10,769.36 $11,143.19 $-2.52
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $388.73 28 $10,884.44
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $389.81 28 $10,914.68 $11,173.43 +$30.24
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $380.47 29 $11,033.63
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.18 29 $10,909.22 $11,049.02 $-124.41
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 30 $11,001.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $370.31 30 $11,109.30 $11,157.32 +$108.30
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $358.43 31 $11,111.33
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $363.89 31 $11,280.44 $11,326.43 +$169.11
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $367.98 30 $11,039.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $371.25 30 $11,137.50 $11,424.53 +$98.10
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $361.49 31 $11,206.19
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $363.13 31 $11,256.88 $11,475.22 +$50.69
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $363.09 31 $11,255.79
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $365.30 31 $11,324.45 $11,543.88 +$68.66
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $348.12 33 $11,487.96
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:40am ET $347.97 33 $11,483.01 $11,538.93 $-4.95
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $360.35 32 $11,531.20
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $367.74 32 $11,767.84 $11,775.57 +$236.64
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $369.79 31 $11,463.49
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:45am ET $365.01 31 $11,315.31 $11,627.39 $-148.18
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $357.91 32 $11,453.12
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:45am ET $347.33 32 $11,114.72 $11,288.99 $-338.40
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,288.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,288.99
Total Return: +12.89%
Back to Professor Mean