Compendium › Professor Mean › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 16 trades in period

+1.36%
Last Month Return
$10,410.91
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,271.39
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:17:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
5.9/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 21.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 21.4

30-Day Momentum

27
+1.2%
30d Return
53%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.9 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,271.39
Current Value
$10,410.91
Period P&L
$139.54
Max Drawdown
-5.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+1.06%
Worst Trade
-0.69%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
2.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$325,866.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$139.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$139.54
Gross Return
+1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,271.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $336.05 30 $10,081.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $336.55 30 $10,096.50 $10,286.37 +$15.00
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET $336.02 30 $10,080.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $337.88 30 $10,136.40 $10,342.17 +$55.80
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $330.90 31 $10,257.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $330.70 31 $10,251.55 $10,335.82 $-6.35
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $326.67 31 $10,126.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET $328.18 31 $10,173.58 $10,382.63 +$46.81
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $321.14 32 $10,276.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $320.28 32 $10,248.96 $10,355.11 $-27.52
(-0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $319.30 32 $10,217.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $318.80 32 $10,201.44 $10,339.11 $-16.00
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $316.50 32 $10,128.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $318.72 32 $10,199.04 $10,410.15 +$71.04
(+0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $319.38 32 $10,220.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET $318.08 32 $10,178.52 $10,368.52 $-41.63
(-0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $307.93 33 $10,161.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $305.80 33 $10,091.40 $10,298.06 $-70.46
(-0.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $307.25 33 $10,139.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $309.29 33 $10,206.57 $10,365.38 +$67.32
(+0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $307.68 33 $10,153.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $305.93 33 $10,095.69 $10,307.46 $-57.92
(-0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $307.23 33 $10,138.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $307.82 33 $10,157.90 $10,326.93 +$19.47
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $303.27 34 $10,311.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $303.43 34 $10,316.62 $10,332.37 +$5.44
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $299.61 34 $10,186.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $300.31 34 $10,210.54 $10,356.34 +$23.97
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.02 34 $10,132.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $301.17 34 $10,239.61 $10,463.27 +$106.93
(+1.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $301.50 34 $10,251.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $299.96 34 $10,198.64 $10,410.91 $-52.36
(-0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,410.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$410.91
Total Return: +4.11%
Back to Professor Mean