Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 13:04:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 30.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 30.2

30-Day Momentum

90
+31.7%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
11
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 100.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+60 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,525
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,794.89
Current Value
$13,450.40
Period P&L
$3,655.59
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.82

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
12 / 0
Best Trade
+12.06%
Worst Trade
+0.43%
Avg Trade Return
+2.53%
Avg Hold Time
22.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$271,177.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,655.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,655.59
Gross Return
+37.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+37.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,794.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $120.62 83 $10,011.46
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $122.56 83 $10,172.48 $10,202.34 +$161.02
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $119.10 85 $10,123.49
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:50am ET $120.03 85 $10,202.55 $10,281.40 +$79.06
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $117.41 87 $10,214.66
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $117.91 87 $10,258.17 $10,324.91 +$43.51
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $105.45 97 $10,228.65
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $107.14 97 $10,393.06 $10,489.32 +$164.41
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $111.23 94 $10,455.62
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $112.29 94 $10,554.79 $10,588.49 +$99.17
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $111.50 94 $10,480.53
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $112.43 94 $10,568.42 $10,676.38 +$87.89
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $98.96 107 $10,588.72
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $110.90 107 $11,866.09 $11,953.75 +$1,277.37
(+12.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $111.81 106 $11,851.86
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $113.61 106 $12,042.66 $12,144.55 +$190.80
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $127.12 95 $12,076.40
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $128.26 95 $12,184.23 $12,252.38 +$107.83
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.65 104 $12,235.28
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $121.41 104 $12,626.64 $12,643.74 +$391.36
(+3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $133.23 94 $12,523.62
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $139.38 94 $13,101.72 $13,221.84 +$578.10
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $129.64 101 $13,093.84
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $131.90 101 $13,322.40 $13,450.40 +$228.56
(+1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,450.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,450.40
Total Return: +34.50%
Back to Professor Mean