Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:37:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 34.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 33.7

30-Day Momentum

17
-2.6%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,544
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,093.11
Current Value
$12,635.70
Period P&L
$-457.42
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+1.27%
Worst Trade
-3.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
9.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$350,854.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-457.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-457.42
Gross Return
-3.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,093.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $437.82 29 $12,696.78
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.03 29 $12,789.88 $13,093.12 +$93.10
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $432.42 30 $12,972.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $418.80 30 $12,563.85 $12,684.37 $-408.75
(-3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $421.81 30 $12,654.30
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $423.30 30 $12,699.00 $12,729.07 +$44.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:40pm ET $416.32 30 $12,489.60
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $417.93 30 $12,537.90 $12,777.37 +$48.30
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $401.22 31 $12,437.82
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $400.23 31 $12,407.13 $12,746.68 $-30.69
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $414.40 30 $12,432.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $415.89 30 $12,476.70 $12,791.38 +$44.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $422.58 30 $12,677.25
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $421.12 30 $12,633.60 $12,747.73 $-43.65
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $423.48 30 $12,704.40
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $425.21 30 $12,756.30 $12,799.63 +$51.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $416.70 30 $12,501.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $408.00 30 $12,240.00 $12,538.63 $-261.00
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $407.17 30 $12,215.25
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $409.30 30 $12,279.00 $12,602.38 +$63.75
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $415.40 30 $12,462.00
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $415.45 30 $12,463.50 $12,603.88 +$1.50
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $416.51 30 $12,495.30
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $413.00 30 $12,390.00 $12,498.58 $-105.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $400.80 31 $12,424.65
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $405.90 31 $12,583.05 $12,656.99 +$158.41
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $401.49 31 $12,446.34
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $400.81 31 $12,425.05 $12,635.70 $-21.29
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,635.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,635.70
Total Return: +26.36%
Back to Professor Mean