Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:06:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.2/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 52.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 51.7

30-Day Momentum

19
-0.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,004.46
Current Value
$12,935.91
Period P&L
$-68.52
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+0.55%
Worst Trade
-1.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
50m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$306,699.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-68.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-68.52
Gross Return
-0.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,004.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $271.12 47 $12,742.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET $270.40 47 $12,709.03 $12,970.83 $-33.60
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $272.20 47 $12,793.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $270.94 47 $12,734.18 $12,911.84 $-58.99
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $266.00 48 $12,768.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $266.70 48 $12,801.41 $12,945.25 +$33.41
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:55am ET $265.76 48 $12,756.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $266.33 48 $12,783.60 $12,972.37 +$27.12
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET $274.07 47 $12,881.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $274.64 47 $12,908.08 $12,999.16 +$26.79
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $277.69 46 $12,773.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $278.13 46 $12,794.00 $13,019.42 +$20.26
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $271.52 47 $12,761.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $267.30 47 $12,563.33 $12,821.32 $-198.10
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $268.53 47 $12,620.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET $270.00 47 $12,690.00 $12,890.41 +$69.09
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $267.54 48 $12,841.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $267.76 48 $12,852.24 $12,900.82 +$10.41
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $268.02 48 $12,864.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:40am ET $268.60 48 $12,892.80 $12,928.66 +$27.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $270.80 47 $12,727.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $271.32 47 $12,752.04 $12,953.33 +$24.67
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $267.76 48 $12,852.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $267.39 48 $12,834.96 $12,935.91 $-17.42
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,935.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,935.91
Total Return: +29.36%
Back to Professor Mean