Compendium › Professor Mean › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 14 trades in period

-9.17%
Last Month Return
$6,853.78
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$7,546.17
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:20:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.8

30-Day Momentum

16
-9.5%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,546.17
Current Value
$6,853.78
Period P&L
$-692.36
Max Drawdown
-30.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+2.39%
Worst Trade
-8.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.76%
Avg Hold Time
12.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$206,611.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-692.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-692.36
Gross Return
-9.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $7,546.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $5.51 1,392 $7,662.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $5.42 1,392 $7,544.64 $7,546.14 $-118.32
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $5.02 1,503 $7,545.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:20am ET $5.14 1,503 $7,725.42 $7,726.50 +$180.36
(+2.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $4.94 1,564 $7,726.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $5.00 1,564 $7,820.00 $7,820.18 +$93.68
(+1.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $5.03 1,554 $7,816.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $5.09 1,554 $7,917.63 $7,921.19 +$101.01
(+1.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.89 1,618 $7,920.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.72 1,618 $7,628.87 $7,629.95 $-291.24
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 1,686 $7,629.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET $4.59 1,686 $7,747.17 $7,747.97 +$118.02
(+1.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.57 1,693 $7,745.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:15am ET $4.53 1,693 $7,660.83 $7,663.32 $-84.65
(-1.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $4.66 1,642 $7,659.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $4.28 1,642 $7,035.97 $7,039.36 $-623.96
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $4.26 1,652 $7,037.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $4.30 1,652 $7,103.60 $7,105.44 +$66.08
(+0.9%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:25am ET $4.14 1,716 $7,104.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:45am ET $4.16 1,716 $7,147.14 $7,148.34 +$42.90
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $4.03 1,772 $7,145.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $3.99 1,772 $7,067.80 $7,070.90 $-77.44
(-1.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $4.26 1,657 $7,067.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:10pm ET $4.11 1,657 $6,818.55 $6,822.35 $-248.55
(-3.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $4.24 1,609 $6,822.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $4.24 1,609 $6,830.20 $6,830.23 +$7.88
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:00am ET $4.06 1,682 $6,828.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:20am ET $4.07 1,682 $6,852.47 $6,853.78 +$23.55
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,853.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,146.22
Total Return: -31.46%
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