Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:38:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 30.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

17
+0.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.3 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,544
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,979.04
Current Value
$10,990.75
Period P&L
$11.71
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+0.80%
Worst Trade
-0.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$257,629.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$11.71
Gross Return
+0.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,979.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $494.36 22 $10,875.92
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:05am ET $493.94 22 $10,866.68 $10,969.80 $-9.24
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $493.05 22 $10,847.21
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $488.65 22 $10,750.30 $10,872.89 $-96.91
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $494.21 22 $10,872.62
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $494.67 22 $10,882.63 $10,882.90 +$10.01
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $481.82 22 $10,600.04
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $482.42 22 $10,613.24 $10,896.10 +$13.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:55am ET $483.00 22 $10,626.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $480.11 22 $10,562.53 $10,832.63 $-63.47
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $487.95 22 $10,735.01
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $488.64 22 $10,750.08 $10,847.70 +$15.07
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $492.43 22 $10,833.46
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET $496.35 22 $10,919.59 $10,933.83 +$86.13
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:10am ET $487.48 22 $10,724.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $486.24 22 $10,697.28 $10,906.55 $-27.28
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $487.19 22 $10,718.19
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $488.27 22 $10,741.83 $10,930.19 +$23.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $497.18 21 $10,440.78
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $499.13 21 $10,481.73 $10,971.14 +$40.95
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $493.72 22 $10,861.84
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET $493.69 22 $10,861.18 $10,970.48 $-0.66
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $485.14 22 $10,673.08
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $486.06 22 $10,693.35 $10,990.75 +$20.27
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,990.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$990.75
Total Return: +9.91%
Back to Professor Mean